Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Bochum v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Bochum (Local)

Prediction 52.97%1.89fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.70%52.91%53.03%54.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.761.761.8363.29%56.87%56.82%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit)

Prediction 23.19%4.31fair odd
EV +2.05%
Edge +0.466%
Kelly +0.602%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.00%23.21%23.16%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.943.904.4027.78%25.38%25.64%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.84%4.19fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.548%
Kelly -0.725%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.03%23.88%23.80%26.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.783.754.1030.77%26.43%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Bochum (Local): 52.97%; 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit): 23.19%; Draw: 23.84%. For 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.05%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.39%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV +2.05%E +0.466%K +0.602%G +0.012%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV -2.25%E -0.548%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 19:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.39%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV +2.05%E +0.466%K +0.602%G +0.012%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV -2.25%E -0.548%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 19:09
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.70%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.32%EV +0.425%E +0.098%K +0.128%G +0.001%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.98%EV -3.92%E -0.972%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 19:20
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 19:04
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 18:44
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:24
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -9.43%E -5.51%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 18:49
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 18:49
Suprabets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.11%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.09%EV -7.49%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:06
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:04
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:05
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.34%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.33%EV -5.61%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.33%EV -2.96%E -0.728%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -5.82%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 18:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -2.25%E -0.548%K -0.725%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 18:49
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:08
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:54
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 18:49
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 18:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 18:49
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.63%EV -8.37%E -4.84%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 19:24
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.39%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 18:44
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.39%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 18:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%EV -9.43%E -5.51%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -8.85%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.73%EV -8.69%E -2.27%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 18:51
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 18:54
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.17%E -3.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 18:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 18:49
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:50
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:50
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:49
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:49
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -5.82%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:45
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -12.98%E -3.56%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:49
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -12.98%E -3.56%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.84%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -12.98%E -3.56%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.37%E -4.84%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.17%E -3.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 18:45
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.37%E -4.84%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.17%E -3.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 18:44
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.37%E -4.84%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.17%E -3.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.37%E -4.84%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.17%E -3.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 18:49
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 19:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.04%EV -11.55%E -6.91%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.73%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.23%EV -22.51%E -6.93%K -10.01%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-07 19:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 52.99%EV -13.67%E -8.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.34%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.66%EV -12.98%E -3.56%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-07 19:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 52.86%EV -16.31%E -10.33%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.57%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -18.94%E -5.57%K -7.89%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-07 19:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.84%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.24%EV -15.35%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -15.36%E -4.33%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 18:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.84%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.24%EV -15.35%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -15.36%E -4.33%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -16.51%E -4.58%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-03-07 19:25
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-03-07 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-03-07 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-03-07 19:25
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-03-07 18:49
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-03-07 19:25