La escuela de los momios

VfL Bochum v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Inicio: 2026-03-07 19:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

VfL Bochum (Local)

Predicción 52.97%1.89momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -3.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.70%52.91%53.03%54.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.581.761.761.8363.29%56.87%56.82%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visitante)

Predicción 23.19%4.31momio equitativo
EV +2.05%
Ventaja +0.466%
Kelly +0.602%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.00%23.21%23.16%24.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.943.904.4027.78%25.38%25.64%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.84%4.19momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -0.548%
Kelly -0.725%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.03%23.88%23.80%26.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.783.754.1030.77%26.43%26.67%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.39%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV +2.05%E +0.466%K +0.602%G +0.012%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV -2.25%E -0.548%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 19:09
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.39%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV +2.05%E +0.466%K +0.602%G +0.012%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV -2.25%E -0.548%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 19:09
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.70%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.32%EV +0.425%E +0.098%K +0.128%G +0.001%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.98%EV -3.92%E -0.972%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 19:20
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 19:04
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 18:44
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:24
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -9.43%E -5.51%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 18:55
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 18:49
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 18:49
Suprabets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.11%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.09%EV -7.49%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:06
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:04
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:05
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.34%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.33%EV -5.61%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.33%EV -2.96%E -0.728%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -5.82%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -2.25%E -0.548%K -0.725%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:45
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 18:49
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:08
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:54
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 18:49
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 18:49
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 18:49
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 18:49
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.63%EV -8.37%E -4.84%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 19:24
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.39%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 18:44
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.39%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 18:49
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%EV -9.43%E -5.51%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -8.85%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.73%EV -8.69%E -2.27%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 18:51
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 18:54
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.17%E -3.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 18:55
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 18:49
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 18:49
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:50
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:49
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:50
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:49
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:49
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:49
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -5.82%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:45
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -12.98%E -3.56%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:49
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -12.98%E -3.56%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:50
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.84%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -12.98%E -3.56%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.37%E -4.84%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.17%E -3.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 18:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.37%E -4.84%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.17%E -3.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 18:44
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.37%E -4.84%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.17%E -3.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.37%E -4.84%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.17%E -3.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 18:49
Parions Sport (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 19:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.04%EV -11.55%E -6.91%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.73%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.23%EV -22.51%E -6.93%K -10.01%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-07 19:24
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 52.99%EV -13.67%E -8.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.34%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.66%EV -12.98%E -3.56%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-07 19:14
PMU (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 52.86%EV -16.31%E -10.33%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.57%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -18.94%E -5.57%K -7.89%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-07 19:24
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 50.84%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.24%EV -15.35%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -15.36%E -4.33%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 18:49
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 50.84%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.24%EV -15.35%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -15.36%E -4.33%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -16.51%E -4.58%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 18:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-03-07 19:25
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-03-07 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-03-07 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-03-07 19:25
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-03-07 18:49
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-03-07 19:25