L’École des cotes

VfL Bochum v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VfL Bochum (Local)

Prévision 52.97%1.89cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -3.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.70%52.91%53.03%54.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.761.761.8363.29%56.87%56.82%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.19%4.31cote équitable
EV +2.05%
Avantage +0.466%
Kelly +0.602%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.00%23.21%23.16%24.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.943.904.4027.78%25.38%25.64%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.84%4.19cote équitable
EV -2.25%
Avantage -0.548%
Kelly -0.725%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.03%23.88%23.80%26.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.783.754.1030.77%26.43%26.67%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.39%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV +2.05%E +0.466%K +0.602%G +0.012%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV -2.25%E -0.548%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 19:09
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.39%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV +2.05%E +0.466%K +0.602%G +0.012%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV -2.25%E -0.548%K -0.725%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 19:09
Pinnacle1.80I 55.56%NM 53.70%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.32%EV +0.425%E +0.098%K +0.128%G +0.001%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.98%EV -3.92%E -0.972%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 19:20
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 19:04
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.65%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 18:44
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 19:24
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -9.43%E -5.51%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -2.59%E -0.617%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 18:55
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 18:49
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 18:49
Suprabets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.11%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.09%EV -7.49%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 19:06
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:04
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.91%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:05
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.34%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.33%EV -5.61%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.33%EV -2.96%E -0.728%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 19:14
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -5.82%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -2.25%E -0.548%K -0.725%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -5.72%E -3.21%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:45
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 18:49
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 19:08
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:54
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 18:49
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 18:49
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 18:49
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 18:49
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.63%EV -8.37%E -4.84%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.23%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 19:24
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.39%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 18:44
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.39%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.21%E -2.13%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 18:49
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%EV -9.43%E -5.51%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.12%EV -8.85%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.73%EV -8.69%E -2.27%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 18:51
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.40%E -2.47%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.25%E -3.53%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.02%E -1.80%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 18:54
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -9.55%E -2.45%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.17%E -3.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 18:55
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 18:49
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -3.07%E -1.68%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -10.59%E -2.82%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 18:49
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:50
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:49
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:50
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:49
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:49
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.04%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -10.71%E -2.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 18:49
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.39%EV -6.78%E -3.85%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.34%EV -5.82%E -1.47%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 18:45
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.31%E -4.18%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.63%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -12.98%E -3.56%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:49
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 50.70%EV -4.13%E -2.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -12.98%E -3.56%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 18:50
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.84%EV -4.66%E -2.59%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -12.98%E -3.56%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 18:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.37%E -4.84%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.17%E -3.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 18:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.37%E -4.84%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.17%E -3.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 18:44
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.37%E -4.84%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.17%E -3.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.37%E -4.84%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.17%E -3.94%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 18:49
Parions Sport (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.87%E -3.12%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 19:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.04%EV -11.55%E -6.91%K -17.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.73%EV -13.03%E -3.47%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.23%EV -22.51%E -6.93%K -10.01%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-07 19:24
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 52.99%EV -13.67%E -8.38%K -21.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.34%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.66%EV -12.98%E -3.56%K -4.90%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-07 19:14
PMU (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 52.86%EV -16.31%E -10.33%K -28.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.57%EV -14.19%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -18.94%E -5.57%K -7.89%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-07 19:24
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 50.84%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.24%EV -15.35%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -15.36%E -4.33%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 18:49
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 50.84%EV -7.84%E -4.51%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.24%EV -15.35%E -4.20%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -15.36%E -4.33%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-07 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -9.96%E -5.86%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -16.51%E -4.58%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.79%EV -11.79%E -3.19%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 18:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-03-07 19:25
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-03-07 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%0.6%2026-03-07 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-03-07 19:25
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-03-07 18:49
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.24%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-03-07 19:25