Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SV Darmstadt 98 v Holstein Kiel

Início: 2026-03-07 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SV Darmstadt 98 (Local)

Previsão 49.43%2.02odd justa
EV -3.62%
Vantagem -1.86%
Kelly -3.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.30%49.51%49.49%51.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.661.861.871.9560.24%53.70%53.48%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Holstein Kiel (Visitante)

Previsão 25.31%3.95odd justa
EV +5.31%
Vantagem +1.28%
Kelly +1.68%
Crescimento +0.089%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.64%25.12%25.33%26.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.353.663.654.1629.85%27.33%27.40%24.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.26%3.96odd justa
EV -2.50%
Vantagem -0.648%
Kelly -0.875%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.22%25.36%25.18%26.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.623.653.8631.25%27.63%27.40%25.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: SV Darmstadt 98 (Local): 49.43%; Holstein Kiel (Visitante): 25.31%; Empate: 25.26%. Para Holstein Kiel (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.95. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.16, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.31%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.71%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.24%EV +5.31%E +1.28%K +1.68%G +0.089%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%EV -2.50%E -0.648%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 11:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -9.55%E -5.22%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV +3.79%E +0.924%K +1.22%G +0.046%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 11:45
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +3.79%E +0.924%K +1.22%G +0.046%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 11:45
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -9.55%E -5.22%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV +1.26%E +0.315%K +0.420%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 11:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -6.09%E -3.20%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -1.27%E -0.326%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -6.09%E -3.20%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -1.27%E -0.326%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 11:54
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.33%EV -6.58%E -3.48%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -2.54%E -0.659%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.97%EV -3.76%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 11:55
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.80%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 07:00
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.80%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 11:55
Suprabets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -7.08%E -3.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -3.80%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.79%EV -8.56%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 11:55
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -3.80%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 11:34
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -3.80%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 11:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -6.09%E -3.20%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 09:44
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.09%E -3.20%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -6.58%E -3.48%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -8.06%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 11:54
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 05:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 09:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.63%EV -6.58%E -3.48%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 11:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.63%EV -6.58%E -3.48%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 11:44
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 11:55
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 09:44
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 11:45
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 11:45
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 11:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 11:45
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 11:44
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 11:45
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 11:45
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -2.75%E -0.715%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 10:54
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.10%E -2.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 11:55
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -7.08%E -3.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 09:44
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -7.08%E -3.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 09:49
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 11:44
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 11:55
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.68%EV -14.49%E -8.38%K -19.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -17.91%E -5.51%K -7.96%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-07 11:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 50.51%EV -17.95%E -10.81%K -27.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.29%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -19.17%E -5.99%K -8.71%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-07 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 10:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -6.09%E -3.20%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 10:24
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 11:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -8.07%E -4.34%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -10.54%E -5.82%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 11:37
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.47%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.44%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.08%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.61%EV -11.53%E -6.44%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 11:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.61%EV -11.53%E -6.44%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 11:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.11%EV -14.49%E -8.38%K -19.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.13%EV -12.66%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.77%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-07 11:49
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-05 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 00:00
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-05 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 09:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.5%2026-03-07 11:55
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.5%2026-03-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-03-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-03-07 11:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-03-07 11:55
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%1.7%2026-03-07 11:55