L’École des cotes

SV Darmstadt 98 v Holstein Kiel

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SV Darmstadt 98 (Local)

Prévision 49.43%2.02cote équitable
EV -3.62%
Avantage -1.86%
Kelly -3.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.30%49.51%49.49%51.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.861.871.9560.24%53.70%53.48%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Holstein Kiel (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.31%3.95cote équitable
EV +5.31%
Avantage +1.28%
Kelly +1.68%
Croissance +0.089%

avec la cote maximale 4.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.64%25.12%25.33%26.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.663.654.1629.85%27.33%27.40%24.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.26%3.96cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -0.648%
Kelly -0.875%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.22%25.36%25.18%26.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.623.653.8631.25%27.63%27.40%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.71%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.24%EV +5.31%E +1.28%K +1.68%G +0.089%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%EV -2.50%E -0.648%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 11:45
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -9.55%E -5.22%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV +3.79%E +0.924%K +1.22%G +0.046%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 11:45
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV +3.79%E +0.924%K +1.22%G +0.046%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 11:45
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -9.55%E -5.22%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV +1.26%E +0.315%K +0.420%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 11:45
BetOnline.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -6.09%E -3.20%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -1.27%E -0.326%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 11:55
LowVig.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -6.09%E -3.20%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -1.27%E -0.326%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 11:54
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.33%EV -6.58%E -3.48%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.71%EV -2.54%E -0.659%K -0.891%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.97%EV -3.76%E -0.988%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 11:55
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.80%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 07:00
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.80%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 11:55
Suprabets1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -7.08%E -3.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -3.80%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.79%EV -8.56%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 11:55
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -3.80%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 11:34
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.92%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -3.80%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 11:44
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -6.09%E -3.20%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 09:44
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -6.09%E -3.20%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.07%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -9.07%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 11:55
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -6.58%E -3.48%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -5.83%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.61%EV -8.06%E -2.21%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 11:54
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 05:29
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 09:44
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.63%EV -6.58%E -3.48%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 11:44
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 49.63%EV -6.58%E -3.48%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.28%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 11:44
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.34%E -1.71%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 11:55
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 09:44
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 11:45
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 11:45
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 11:44
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 11:45
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 11:45
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 11:44
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -7.57%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 11:45
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -7.60%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 11:45
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -2.75%E -0.715%K -0.966%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 10:54
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.10%E -2.66%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 11:55
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -7.08%E -3.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 09:44
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -7.08%E -3.76%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -7.81%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 09:49
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 11:44
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 11:55
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 11:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 11:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -14.12%E -4.15%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.68%EV -14.49%E -8.38%K -19.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.45%EV -17.91%E -5.51%K -7.96%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-07 11:45
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 50.51%EV -17.95%E -10.81%K -27.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.29%EV -8.87%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.20%EV -19.17%E -5.99%K -8.71%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-07 11:45
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 10:24
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.63%EV -6.09%E -3.20%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.54%E -1.77%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 10:24
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -3.62%E -1.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 11:55
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.48%EV -8.07%E -4.34%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.02%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 09:45
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -10.54%E -5.82%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 11:37
Parions Sport (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.47%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.44%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.08%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 11:35
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 49.61%EV -11.53%E -6.44%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 11:44
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 49.61%EV -11.53%E -6.44%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -11.40%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 11:44
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.11%EV -14.49%E -8.38%K -19.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.13%EV -12.66%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.77%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-07 11:49
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-05 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 00:00
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -8.56%E -4.63%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -13.93%E -4.10%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.59%E -3.31%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-05 13:00
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -15.20%E -4.54%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -10.33%E -2.91%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 09:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.5%2026-03-07 11:55
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.68%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.83%0.5%2026-03-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-03-07 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-03-07 11:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-03-07 11:55
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.87%1.7%2026-03-07 11:55