Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Darmstadt 98 v Hannover 96

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Darmstadt 98 (Local)

Prediction 34.32%2.91fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.69%34.40%34.35%35.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.652.652.8240.82%37.71%37.74%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hannover 96 (Visit)

Prediction 39.06%2.56fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.786%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.74%39.05%39.04%39.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.372.382.5144.44%42.19%42.02%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.63%3.76fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.548%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.48%26.54%26.61%28.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.483.503.7033.33%28.72%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SV Darmstadt 98 (Local): 34.32%; Hannover 96 (Visit): 39.06%; Draw: 26.63%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.32%EV -3.22%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.87%EV -2.75%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -3.88%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.91%E -1.40%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 18:20
Coolbet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.96%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.58%EV -1.97%E -0.786%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.46%EV -2.55%E -0.695%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 14:55
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 18:20
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 16:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.35%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.49%E -2.27%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:10
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 16:08
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 15:49
Suprabets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.06%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.19%EV -6.66%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 15:52
Marathon Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.55%EV -7.83%E -3.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.27%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.87%EV -6.66%E -2.45%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.04%EV -7.83%E -3.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.87%EV -6.66%E -2.45%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.04%EV -7.83%E -3.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:30
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -1.48%E -0.400%K -0.548%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 05:05
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 16:09
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 16:29
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 18:20
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 18:04
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 18:10
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 16:55
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 16:54
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -8.03%E -3.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.14%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 16:10
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -8.03%E -3.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.14%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 16:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 12:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 12:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 16:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -9.74%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.42%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -2.81%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 18:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -9.74%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.42%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -2.81%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 18:01
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.09%E -3.85%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 18:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.11%EV -10.09%E -3.85%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.37%EV -11.34%E -5.00%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -10.27%E -3.05%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 18:02
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 18:00
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 06:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 06:15
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 06:15
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 06:15
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.49%E -4.90%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 18:01
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.13%EV -12.49%E -4.90%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.68%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-11 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -14.21%E -5.68%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -14.21%E -5.68%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -20.12%E -6.71%K -10.06%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-11 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.87%EV -14.89%E -6.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.34%EV -9.39%E -4.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -8.14%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.87%EV -14.89%E -6.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.34%EV -9.39%E -4.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -8.14%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 18:01
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -15.92%E -6.50%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 18:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.67%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.70%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.63%0.1%2026-04-11 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89%0.5%2026-04-11 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.8%2026-04-11 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.8%2026-04-11 18:25
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.63%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.42%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.7%2026-04-11 18:25
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-04-11 18:25