La escuela de los momios

SV Darmstadt 98 v Hannover 96

Inicio: 2026-04-11 18:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SV Darmstadt 98 (Local)

Predicción 34.32%2.91momio equitativo
EV -3.22%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -1.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.69%34.40%34.35%35.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.652.652.8240.82%37.71%37.74%35.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hannover 96 (Visitante)

Predicción 39.06%2.56momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -0.786%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.74%39.05%39.04%39.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.372.382.5144.44%42.19%42.02%39.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.63%3.76momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.400%
Kelly -0.548%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.48%26.54%26.61%28.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.483.503.7033.33%28.72%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 34.32%EV -3.22%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.87%EV -2.75%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -3.88%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 18:20
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.91%E -1.40%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 18:20
Coolbet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.96%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.58%EV -1.97%E -0.786%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.46%EV -2.55%E -0.695%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 14:55
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 18:20
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 16:15
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.35%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.49%E -2.27%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:10
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 16:50
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 16:08
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 15:49
Suprabets2.75I 36.36%NM 34.06%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.19%EV -6.66%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 15:52
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.55%EV -7.83%E -3.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.27%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 17:20
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 33.87%EV -6.66%E -2.45%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.04%EV -7.83%E -3.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:30
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 33.87%EV -6.66%E -2.45%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.04%EV -7.83%E -3.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:30
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -1.48%E -0.400%K -0.548%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 05:05
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 16:09
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 16:29
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 18:20
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 18:04
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 18:10
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 16:55
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 16:55
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 16:54
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -8.03%E -3.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.14%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 16:10
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -8.03%E -3.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.14%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 16:09
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 12:34
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 12:35
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:10
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 16:09
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -9.74%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.42%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -2.81%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 18:01
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -9.74%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.42%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -2.81%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 18:01
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.09%E -3.85%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 18:19
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.11%EV -10.09%E -3.85%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.37%EV -11.34%E -5.00%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -10.27%E -3.05%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 18:02
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 18:00
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 06:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 06:15
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 06:15
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 06:15
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.49%E -4.90%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 18:01
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.13%EV -12.49%E -4.90%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.68%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-11 18:25
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -14.21%E -5.68%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -14.21%E -5.68%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -20.12%E -6.71%K -10.06%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-11 18:20
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 35.87%EV -14.89%E -6.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.34%EV -9.39%E -4.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -8.14%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 35.87%EV -14.89%E -6.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.34%EV -9.39%E -4.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -8.14%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 18:01
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -15.92%E -6.50%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 18:01
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.67%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.70%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.63%0.1%2026-04-11 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89%0.5%2026-04-11 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.8%2026-04-11 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.8%2026-04-11 18:25
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.63%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.42%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.7%2026-04-11 18:25
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-04-11 18:25