L’École des cotes

SV Darmstadt 98 v Hannover 96

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 18:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SV Darmstadt 98 (Local)

Prévision 34.32%2.91cote équitable
EV -3.22%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -1.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.69%34.40%34.35%35.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.652.652.8240.82%37.71%37.74%35.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hannover 96 (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.06%2.56cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -0.786%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.74%39.05%39.04%39.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.372.382.5144.44%42.19%42.02%39.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.63%3.76cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.400%
Kelly -0.548%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.48%26.54%26.61%28.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.483.503.7033.33%28.72%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 34.32%EV -3.22%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.87%EV -2.75%E -1.11%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -3.88%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 18:20
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.91%E -1.40%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 18:20
Coolbet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.96%EV -4.94%E -1.78%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.58%EV -1.97%E -0.786%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.46%EV -2.55%E -0.695%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 14:55
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 18:20
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 16:15
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.35%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.49%E -2.27%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:10
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 16:50
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 16:08
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 15:49
Suprabets2.75I 36.36%NM 34.06%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.19%EV -6.66%E -2.79%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 15:52
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.63%E -2.05%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.55%EV -7.83%E -3.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.27%E -1.78%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 17:20
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 33.87%EV -6.66%E -2.45%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.04%EV -7.83%E -3.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:30
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 33.87%EV -6.66%E -2.45%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.04%EV -7.83%E -3.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:30
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -1.48%E -0.400%K -0.548%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 05:05
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 16:09
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.41%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.04%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.81%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 16:29
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 18:20
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 18:04
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 18:10
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 16:55
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 16:55
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.34%E -2.72%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 16:54
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -8.03%E -3.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.14%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 16:10
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -8.03%E -3.00%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -8.14%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 16:09
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 12:34
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 12:35
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -8.22%E -3.50%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 16:10
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -9.06%E -3.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 16:09
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -9.74%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.42%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -2.81%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 18:01
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.79%EV -9.74%E -3.70%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.42%EV -4.32%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -2.81%E -0.770%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 18:01
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.09%E -3.85%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 18:19
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.11%EV -10.09%E -3.85%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.37%EV -11.34%E -5.00%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -10.27%E -3.05%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 18:02
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -5.10%E -2.10%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 02:00
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 18:00
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 06:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 06:15
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 06:15
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.77%E -4.14%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 06:15
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -12.49%E -4.90%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -6.27%E -2.61%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 18:01
NetBet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.13%EV -12.49%E -4.90%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.68%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.20%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-11 18:25
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -14.21%E -5.68%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -14.21%E -5.68%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -20.12%E -6.71%K -10.06%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-11 18:20
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 35.87%EV -14.89%E -6.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.34%EV -9.39%E -4.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -8.14%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 35.87%EV -14.89%E -6.00%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.34%EV -9.39%E -4.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -8.14%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 18:01
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.90%EV -15.92%E -6.50%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.87%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.95%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 18:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.67%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.70%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.63%0.1%2026-04-11 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89%0.5%2026-04-11 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.8%2026-04-11 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.8%2026-04-11 18:25
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.63%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.42%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.7%2026-04-11 18:25
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.92%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-04-11 18:25