Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.20
assuming max odds 2.21
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Preußen Münster (Local): 30.62%; Arminia Bielefeld (Visit): 42.76%; Draw: 26.62%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.180%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -2.02%E -0.630%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.51%E -0.408%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.02%EV -2.63%E -0.827%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.39%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.59%EV -4.44%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 00:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -7.21%E -3.32%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%EV -6.30%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 00:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.30%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 22:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 11:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.61%EV -5.50%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 16:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-19 16:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 11:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 12:33 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.18%EV -8.92%E -4.19%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -0.180%E -0.048%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 00:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -2.84%E -0.779%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 16:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 16:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 16:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 16:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 10:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 00:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -7.21%E -3.32%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -7.21%E -3.32%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 00:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-20 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.46%EV -7.64%E -3.53%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 00:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 00:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 00:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 10:33 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 11:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -9.67%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 00:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -9.67%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.60%EV -10.59%E -3.63%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.96%EV -11.06%E -5.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.44%EV -10.03%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 11:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-22 11:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.13%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.51%EV -11.06%E -5.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-19 16:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.51%EV -11.06%E -5.32%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-19 16:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -20.14%E -6.71%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-22 11:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -12.73%E -4.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.31%EV -11.48%E -5.55%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-19 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.42%EV -12.73%E -4.47%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.91%EV -13.62%E -6.74%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-23 10:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.17%EV -15.80%E -5.74%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-23 00:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.06% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.06% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.06% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79% | 3.7% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.90% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07% | 4.1% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |