L’École des cotes

SC Preußen Münster v Arminia Bielefeld

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Preußen Münster (Local)

Prévision 30.62%3.27cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.630%
Kelly -0.917%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.41%30.60%30.66%31.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.003.003.2036.36%33.31%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arminia Bielefeld (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.76%2.34cote équitable
EV -5.50%
Avantage -2.49%
Kelly -4.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.67%42.87%42.69%44.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.172.2150.00%46.72%46.08%45.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.62%3.76cote équitable
EV -0.180%
Avantage -0.048%
Kelly -0.066%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.29%26.53%26.64%28.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.453.453.7533.33%29.00%28.99%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -2.02%E -0.630%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.51%E -0.408%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:05
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 30.02%EV -2.63%E -0.827%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.39%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.59%EV -4.44%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 00:05
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 00:15
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -7.21%E -3.32%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%EV -6.30%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:14
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 00:01
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.30%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 16:04
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 22:25
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 11:04
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.61%EV -5.50%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 00:05
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 00:00
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 16:34
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 16:34
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 00:04
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:19
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 12:33
Suprabets3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.18%EV -8.92%E -4.19%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:09
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -0.180%E -0.048%K -0.066%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 00:19
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -2.84%E -0.779%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 00:05
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 00:05
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 00:04
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 00:05
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:35
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:34
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:40
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:34
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:34
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:34
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:35
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 10:45
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -7.21%E -3.32%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:35
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -7.21%E -3.32%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:35
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 00:19
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 15:20
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.46%EV -7.64%E -3.53%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 16:35
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 00:00
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 00:00
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 00:00
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 00:00
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 10:33
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 11:38
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 16:04
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 16:04
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 16:05
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 16:04
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -9.67%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 00:19
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -9.67%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 00:20
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 30.60%EV -10.59%E -3.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.96%EV -11.06%E -5.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.44%EV -10.03%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 11:05
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 11:34
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.13%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 11:05
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.51%EV -11.06%E -5.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 16:34
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.51%EV -11.06%E -5.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 16:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -20.14%E -6.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-22 11:50
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -12.73%E -4.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.31%EV -11.48%E -5.55%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 16:35
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.42%EV -12.73%E -4.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 42.91%EV -13.62%E -6.74%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 10:44
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.17%EV -15.80%E -5.74%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-23 00:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-04-24 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.06%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79%3.7%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.06%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79%3.7%2026-04-24 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.06%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79%3.7%2026-04-24 01:30
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%4.1%2026-04-24 03:25
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%5.0%2026-04-24 01:55