La escuela de los momios

SC Preußen Münster v Arminia Bielefeld

Inicio: 2026-04-25 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SC Preußen Münster (Local)

Predicción 30.62%3.27momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.630%
Kelly -0.917%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.41%30.60%30.66%31.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.003.003.2036.36%33.31%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Arminia Bielefeld (Visitante)

Predicción 42.76%2.34momio equitativo
EV -5.50%
Ventaja -2.49%
Kelly -4.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.67%42.87%42.69%44.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.172.2150.00%46.72%46.08%45.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.62%3.76momio equitativo
EV -0.180%
Ventaja -0.048%
Kelly -0.066%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.29%26.53%26.64%28.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.453.7533.33%29.00%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -2.02%E -0.630%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.51%E -0.408%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:05
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 30.02%EV -2.63%E -0.827%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.39%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.59%EV -4.44%E -1.24%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 00:05
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 00:15
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.17%EV -7.21%E -3.32%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%EV -6.30%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 18:14
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 00:01
Marathon Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.30%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 16:04
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 22:25
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 11:04
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.61%EV -5.50%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 00:05
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.50%E -1.55%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 00:00
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 16:34
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 16:34
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 00:04
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:19
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 12:33
Suprabets3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -6.61%E -2.17%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.18%EV -8.92%E -4.19%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:09
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -0.180%E -0.048%K -0.066%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 00:19
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -2.84%E -0.779%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 00:05
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 00:05
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 00:04
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 00:05
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:35
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:34
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:40
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:34
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:34
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:34
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.40%EV -6.78%E -3.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:35
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 10:45
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -7.21%E -3.32%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:35
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.51%EV -7.21%E -3.32%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -8.17%E -2.37%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 16:35
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 00:19
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 15:20
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.46%EV -7.64%E -3.53%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 16:35
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 00:00
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 00:00
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 00:00
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 00:00
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 10:33
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.83%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 11:38
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 16:04
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 16:04
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 16:05
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -8.14%E -2.71%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 16:04
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -9.67%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.92%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 00:19
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -9.67%E -3.28%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.17%E -1.16%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 00:20
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 30.60%EV -10.59%E -3.63%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.96%EV -11.06%E -5.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.44%EV -10.03%E -2.97%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 11:05
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -9.50%E -2.79%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 11:34
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.48%EV -11.20%E -3.86%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.13%EV -12.34%E -6.02%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -10.83%E -3.23%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 11:05
LiveScore Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.51%EV -11.06%E -5.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 16:34
Virgin Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.51%EV -11.06%E -5.32%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-19 16:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -11.81%E -4.10%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -20.14%E -6.71%K -10.07%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-22 11:50
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -12.73%E -4.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.31%EV -11.48%E -5.55%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-19 16:35
NetBet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.42%EV -12.73%E -4.47%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 42.91%EV -13.62%E -6.74%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -13.49%E -4.15%K -6.00%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 10:44
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.17%EV -15.80%E -5.74%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -14.48%E -7.24%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -12.16%E -3.68%K -5.29%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-23 00:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.70%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-04-24 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.06%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79%3.7%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.06%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79%3.7%2026-04-24 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.06%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.79%3.7%2026-04-24 01:30
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%4.1%2026-04-24 03:25
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.25%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.92%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%5.0%2026-04-24 01:55