Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.88
assuming max odds 3.95
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Paderborn (Local): 51.53%; 1. FC Magdeburg (Visit): 24.93%; Draw: 23.54%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -3.13%E -1.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -11.50%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -3.13%E -1.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -11.50%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -3.64%E -1.95%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -3.64%E -1.95%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -3.64%E -1.95%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -3.64%E -1.95%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -3.64%E -1.95%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -3.64%E -1.95%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -3.64%E -1.95%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.02%EV -4.16%E -2.24%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%EV -1.53%E -0.387%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.48%EV -3.00%E -0.729%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -4.67%E -2.53%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 08:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -4.67%E -2.53%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 11:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -4.67%E -2.53%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 11:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.12%E -0.267%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-12 10:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.74%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -4.02%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -2.78%E -0.712%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-12 10:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 09:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-12 10:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.01%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.99%E -4.06%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-12 10:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.78%EV -5.77%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.77%EV -7.24%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -9.01%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.78%E -0.712%K -0.957%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 10:58 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -4.02%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.74%EV -7.24%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-12 10:56 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -4.02%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -7.24%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.48%E -0.848%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 10:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.71%EV -7.76%E -4.34%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -16.49%E -4.92%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.72%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.71%EV -7.76%E -4.34%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -16.49%E -4.92%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.72%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -8.28%E -4.65%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.78%EV -9.31%E -5.29%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -17.73%E -5.37%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -12.89%E -3.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.83%E -5.61%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-12 10:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -9.83%E -5.61%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.89%E -3.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-12 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.83%E -5.61%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.89%E -3.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.83%E -5.61%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.89%E -3.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.83%E -5.61%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.89%E -3.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.83%E -5.61%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.89%E -3.48%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.83%E -5.61%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -15.25%E -4.24%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -10.34%E -5.94%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -9.01%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -10.86%E -6.28%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -15.24%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -22.31%E -6.76%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-04-12 08:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -11.37%E -6.61%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -15.24%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.87%EV -13.43%E -8.00%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -11.72%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54% | 1.9% | 2026-04-12 07:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.59% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-04-12 11:00 |