L’École des cotes

SC Paderborn v 1. FC Magdeburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 11:30 UTC

Score final : SC Paderborn 4–3 1. FC Magdeburg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Paderborn (Local)

Prévision 51.53%1.94cote équitable
EV -3.13%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -3.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.19%51.44%51.54%52.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.811.801.8859.52%55.30%55.56%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

1. FC Magdeburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.93%4.01cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.387%
Kelly -0.519%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.00%25.01%24.88%26.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.643.603.9530.30%27.49%27.78%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.54%4.25cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.267%
Kelly -0.350%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.64%23.55%23.58%25.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.883.904.2030.30%25.77%25.64%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -3.13%E -1.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -11.50%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -3.13%E -1.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -11.50%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -3.64%E -1.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -3.64%E -1.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -3.64%E -1.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -3.64%E -1.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -3.64%E -1.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 11:00
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -3.64%E -1.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 11:00
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.81%EV -3.64%E -1.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.58%EV -7.01%E -1.77%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.02%EV -4.16%E -2.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%EV -1.53%E -0.387%K -0.519%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.48%EV -3.00%E -0.729%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -4.67%E -2.53%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -4.67%E -2.53%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 11:54
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -4.67%E -2.53%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 11:55
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.98%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -1.12%E -0.267%K -0.350%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 10:59
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.74%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -4.02%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -2.78%E -0.712%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 10:59
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 11:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 09:00
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 10:59
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 11:00
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 50.41%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 11:00
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.01%EV -5.70%E -3.12%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.99%E -4.06%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 10:59
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.46%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.78%EV -5.77%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.77%EV -7.24%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 11:00
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -9.01%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:00
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.78%E -0.712%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 10:58
Suprabets1.80I 55.56%NM 51.96%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -4.02%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.74%EV -7.24%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 10:56
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -4.02%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.80%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.66%EV -7.24%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 11:00
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -3.48%E -0.848%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 11:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -5.27%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 11:00
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 11:00
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 10:59
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.52%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 49.71%EV -7.76%E -4.34%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -16.49%E -4.92%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.72%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 49.71%EV -7.76%E -4.34%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -16.49%E -4.92%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.72%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -8.28%E -4.65%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -5.83%E -1.46%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 11:00
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.78%EV -9.31%E -5.29%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -17.73%E -5.37%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -12.89%E -3.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.83%E -5.61%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -8.18%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -9.83%E -5.61%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.89%E -3.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.83%E -5.61%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.89%E -3.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 11:00
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.83%E -5.61%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.89%E -3.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.83%E -5.61%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.89%E -3.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 11:00
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.83%E -5.61%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -12.89%E -3.48%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 11:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.83%E -5.61%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -15.25%E -4.24%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.85%EV -10.34%E -5.94%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -9.01%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -9.36%E -2.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.19%EV -10.86%E -6.28%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.03%EV -15.24%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.79%EV -22.31%E -6.76%K -9.70%G +0.000%17.5%2026-04-12 08:15
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.06%EV -11.37%E -6.61%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -15.24%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.54%E -2.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.87%EV -13.43%E -8.00%K -19.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -12.75%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -11.72%E -3.12%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-12 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-12 11:00
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-12 11:00
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.54%1.9%2026-04-12 07:20
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00