Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.06
assuming max odds 3.70
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Holstein Kiel (Local): 46.68%; SC Preußen Münster (Visit): 26.69%; Draw: 26.64%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.754. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.750, with an expected value of -0.107%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.90%EV -3.85%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.18%EV -1.53%E -0.415%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.91%EV -4.37%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 10:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 10:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 10:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 10:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.25%E -2.58%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%EV -0.107%E -0.028%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 10:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 10:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 10:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 10:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 10:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -1.27%E -0.342%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 11:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -1.27%E -0.342%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 11:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 10:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 10:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 10:44 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.99%EV -7.11%E -3.57%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 25.90%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 10:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.86%EV -7.11%E -3.57%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -5.00%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -7.83%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 10:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.05%E -4.08%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 10:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -8.51%E -4.34%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-05 10:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 11:23 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 10:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.08%EV -9.91%E -5.14%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 10:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.08%EV -9.91%E -5.14%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 10:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -10.23%E -3.04%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 11:08 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-05 10:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -20.09%E -6.70%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.46%EV -11.31%E -5.95%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-05 10:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.17%EV -11.78%E -6.23%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.16%EV -12.25%E -6.51%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.55%EV -15.94%E -5.06%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.98% | 0.2% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.99% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 1.3% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |