La escuela de los momios

Holstein Kiel v SC Preußen Münster

Inicio: 2026-04-05 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Holstein Kiel (Local)

Predicción 46.68%2.14momio equitativo
EV -3.85%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -3.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.96%46.73%46.66%47.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.881.982.002.0653.19%50.42%50.00%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SC Preußen Münster (Visitante)

Predicción 26.69%3.75momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.342%
Kelly -0.469%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.79%26.67%26.73%27.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.433.403.7031.75%29.11%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.64%3.75momio equitativo
EV -0.107%
Ventaja -0.028%
Kelly -0.039%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.52%26.60%26.61%28.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.503.7533.33%29.01%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.90%EV -3.85%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.18%EV -1.53%E -0.415%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.91%EV -4.37%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 11:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 10:45
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 11:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 10:45
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 10:45
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 10:44
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.25%E -2.58%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%EV -0.107%E -0.028%K -0.039%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 10:49
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 10:55
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:45
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:44
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:44
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:45
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:44
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:44
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:45
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -1.27%E -0.342%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 11:09
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -1.27%E -0.342%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 11:09
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:43
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 10:54
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 10:50
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:25
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:25
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 10:55
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 10:45
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 10:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 10:49
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:44
Suprabets1.99I 50.25%NM 46.99%EV -7.11%E -3.57%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.90%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 10:51
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.86%EV -7.11%E -3.57%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -5.00%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -7.83%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:25
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 11:24
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 10:54
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 10:55
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.05%E -4.08%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:59
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -8.51%E -4.34%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 10:54
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 11:25
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 11:24
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 11:23
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 11:24
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 11:24
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 11:25
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 11:25
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 11:25
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 10:44
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.08%EV -9.91%E -5.14%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 10:44
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.08%EV -9.91%E -5.14%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 10:44
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -10.23%E -3.04%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 11:08
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-05 10:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -20.09%E -6.70%K -10.04%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-05 11:24
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.46%EV -11.31%E -5.95%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-05 10:54
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.17%EV -11.78%E -6.23%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 11:10
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.16%EV -12.25%E -6.51%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.55%EV -15.94%E -5.06%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-05 11:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 47.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.98%0.2%2026-04-05 11:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-04-05 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-04-05 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-04-05 11:10
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.99%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-04-05 11:10
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-04-05 11:25