L’École des cotes

Holstein Kiel v SC Preußen Münster

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 11:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Holstein Kiel (Local)

Prévision 46.68%2.14cote équitable
EV -3.85%
Avantage -1.87%
Kelly -3.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.96%46.73%46.66%47.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.881.982.002.0653.19%50.42%50.00%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Preußen Münster (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.69%3.75cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.342%
Kelly -0.469%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.79%26.67%26.73%27.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.433.403.7031.75%29.11%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.64%3.75cote équitable
EV -0.107%
Avantage -0.028%
Kelly -0.039%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.52%26.60%26.61%28.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.453.503.7533.33%29.01%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.90%EV -3.85%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.18%EV -1.53%E -0.415%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.91%EV -4.37%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 11:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 10:45
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 11:10
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 10:45
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 10:45
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 10:44
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -5.25%E -2.58%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.52%EV -0.107%E -0.028%K -0.039%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 10:49
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 10:55
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:45
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:44
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:44
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:45
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:44
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:44
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 10:45
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -1.27%E -0.342%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 11:09
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.71%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -1.27%E -0.342%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 11:09
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:43
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 10:54
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 10:50
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:25
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:25
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 10:55
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 10:45
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 10:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 10:49
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.65%E -3.32%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 10:44
Suprabets1.99I 50.25%NM 46.99%EV -7.11%E -3.57%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.90%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 10:51
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.86%EV -7.11%E -3.57%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -5.00%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -7.83%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:25
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -5.27%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 11:24
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 10:54
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.58%E -3.83%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.94%E -2.30%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 10:55
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.05%E -4.08%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -3.93%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -4.10%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:59
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -8.51%E -4.34%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.43%E -1.53%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 10:54
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.77%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 11:25
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 11:24
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 11:23
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 11:24
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 11:24
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.60%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 11:25
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.27%E -2.73%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 11:25
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -11.94%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 11:25
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -8.98%E -4.61%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 10:44
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.08%EV -9.91%E -5.14%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 10:44
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.08%EV -9.91%E -5.14%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.55%EV -10.76%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 10:44
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.80%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -10.23%E -3.04%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 11:08
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-05 10:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -10.85%E -5.68%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -13.27%E -4.08%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -20.09%E -6.70%K -10.04%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-05 11:24
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.46%EV -11.31%E -5.95%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -14.61%E -4.56%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-05 10:54
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.17%EV -11.78%E -6.23%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -10.61%E -3.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.22%EV -9.43%E -2.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 11:10
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.16%EV -12.25%E -6.51%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.55%EV -15.94%E -5.06%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.30%EV -12.09%E -3.66%K -5.26%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-05 11:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 47.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.98%0.2%2026-04-05 11:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-04-05 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-04-05 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-04-05 11:10
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.99%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-04-05 11:10
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%3.1%2026-04-05 11:25