La scuola delle quote

Holstein Kiel v Eintracht Braunschweig

Inizio: 2026-05-02 11:00 UTC

Finale: Holstein Kiel 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Holstein Kiel (Casa)

Previsione 38.30%2.61quota equa
EV -1.94%
Vantaggio -0.758%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.92%38.36%38.36%42.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.362.402.5647.62%42.34%41.67%39.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Eintracht Braunschweig (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.37%3.00quota equa
EV +1.79%
Vantaggio +0.588%
Kelly +0.874%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.75%33.29%33.29%34.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.822.803.0539.22%35.48%35.71%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.32%3.53quota equa
EV -0.877%
Vantaggio -0.251%
Kelly -0.351%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.05%28.35%28.35%29.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.273.303.5034.72%30.58%30.30%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.79%E +0.588%K +0.874%G +0.016%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -2.29%E -0.665%K -0.936%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 10:50
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.79%E +0.588%K +0.874%G +0.016%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -2.29%E -0.665%K -0.936%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 10:50
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -4.24%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.99%EV -5.41%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 10:45
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.29%E -0.665%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 10:50
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.29%E -0.665%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 10:50
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.29%E -0.665%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 10:50
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.29%E -0.665%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 10:50
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.29%E -0.665%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 10:50
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.29%E -0.665%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 10:50
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.29%E -0.665%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 10:50
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -15.73%E -7.15%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 10:50
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -15.73%E -7.15%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 10:48
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -15.73%E -7.15%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 10:51
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 10:45
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 10:44
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.13%EV -18.79%E -8.87%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 10:50
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.13%EV -18.79%E -8.87%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 10:50
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.67%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.33%EV -4.22%E -1.47%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 10:45
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 10:55
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 10:50
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 10:50
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -19.56%E -9.31%K -17.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-02 10:51
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.54%EV -7.30%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.84%EV -5.22%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.61%EV -7.67%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 10:50
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -0.877%E -0.251%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.18%EV -5.39%E -2.18%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 10:55
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:55
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:55
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:55
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:55
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.90%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 10:45
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.92%EV -1.94%E -0.758%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.00%EV -7.22%E -2.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 10:51
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.92%EV -1.94%E -0.758%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.00%EV -7.22%E -2.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 10:51
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -7.30%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.22%E -2.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -7.30%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.22%E -2.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 10:55
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -4.24%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.54%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -2.01%E -0.581%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 10:55
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.24%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 10:55
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 10:54
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 10:55
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -4.24%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 10:50
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 10:55
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 10:55
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:54
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.90%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 10:45
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.24%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 10:50
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.24%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 10:50
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 10:55
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.90%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 10:55
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.53%EV -11.13%E -4.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.36%EV -10.56%E -3.94%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.11%EV -9.94%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 10:55
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -12.23%E -4.65%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -12.23%E -4.65%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 10:55
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -12.56%E -4.79%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -12.56%E -4.79%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 10:55
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -13.81%E -6.14%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -12.56%E -4.79%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -11.90%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -13.23%E -5.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -18.44%E -6.40%K -9.81%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-02 10:45
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -11.90%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -14.90%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-02 10:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 38.39%3.03I 33.00%NM 33.32%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.28%-1.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.39%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-05-02 10:55
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.74%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.20%2.2%2026-05-02 10:55