L’École des cotes

Holstein Kiel v Eintracht Braunschweig

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 11:00 UTC

Score final : Holstein Kiel 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Holstein Kiel (Local)

Prévision 38.30%2.61cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -0.758%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.92%38.36%38.36%42.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.362.402.5647.62%42.34%41.67%39.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Eintracht Braunschweig (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.37%3.00cote équitable
EV +1.79%
Avantage +0.588%
Kelly +0.874%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.75%33.29%33.29%34.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.822.803.0539.22%35.48%35.71%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.32%3.53cote équitable
EV -0.877%
Avantage -0.251%
Kelly -0.351%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.05%28.35%28.35%29.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.273.303.5034.72%30.58%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.79%E +0.588%K +0.874%G +0.016%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -2.29%E -0.665%K -0.936%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 10:50
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV +1.79%E +0.588%K +0.874%G +0.016%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -2.29%E -0.665%K -0.936%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 10:50
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -4.24%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.99%EV -5.41%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 10:45
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.29%E -0.665%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 10:50
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.29%E -0.665%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 10:50
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.29%E -0.665%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 10:50
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.29%E -0.665%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 10:50
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.29%E -0.665%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 10:50
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.29%E -0.665%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 10:50
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -14.58%E -6.54%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -2.29%E -0.665%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 10:50
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -15.73%E -7.15%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 10:50
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -15.73%E -7.15%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 10:48
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -15.73%E -7.15%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV +0.123%E +0.041%K +0.062%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 10:51
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 10:45
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 10:44
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.13%EV -18.79%E -8.87%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 10:50
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.13%EV -18.79%E -8.87%K -16.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -3.21%E -1.11%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 10:50
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.67%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.33%EV -4.22%E -1.47%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 10:45
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 10:55
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 10:50
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 10:50
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.96%EV -19.56%E -9.31%K -17.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.92%EV -4.88%E -1.71%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-02 10:51
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.54%EV -7.30%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.84%EV -5.22%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.61%EV -7.67%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 10:50
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -0.877%E -0.251%K -0.351%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.18%EV -5.39%E -2.18%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 10:55
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:55
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:55
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:55
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 10:55
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.90%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -6.55%E -2.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 10:45
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.92%EV -1.94%E -0.758%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.00%EV -7.22%E -2.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 10:51
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.92%EV -1.94%E -0.758%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.00%EV -7.22%E -2.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 10:51
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -7.30%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.22%E -2.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -7.30%E -3.02%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.29%EV -7.22%E -2.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 10:55
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -4.24%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.54%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -2.01%E -0.581%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 10:55
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.24%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 10:55
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 10:54
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.15%E -2.51%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 10:55
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -4.24%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 10:50
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 10:55
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 10:55
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.83%E -3.71%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 10:54
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.90%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -8.22%E -2.99%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 10:45
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.24%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 10:50
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -4.24%E -1.70%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 10:50
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 10:55
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.90%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.89%E -3.66%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 10:55
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.53%EV -11.13%E -4.80%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.36%EV -10.56%E -3.94%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.11%EV -9.94%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 10:55
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -12.23%E -4.65%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.22%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.96%EV -12.23%E -4.65%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-02 10:55
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -12.56%E -4.79%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -8.07%E -3.36%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -12.56%E -4.79%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 10:55
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -13.81%E -6.14%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -12.56%E -4.79%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -11.90%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -13.23%E -5.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -18.44%E -6.40%K -9.81%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-02 10:45
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -11.90%E -5.17%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -14.90%E -5.84%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-02 10:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 38.39%3.03I 33.00%NM 33.32%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.28%-1.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.21%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.67%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-05-02 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.39%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.03%1.3%2026-05-02 10:55
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.74%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.20%2.2%2026-05-02 10:55