La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Hertha Berlin v 1. FC Nürnberg
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Hertha Berlin (Casa)
Previsione 43.67%2.29quota equa
EV -1.74%
Vantaggio -0.771%
Kelly -1.39%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.00%43.85%43.67%46.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.922.082.102.2552.08%48.11%47.62%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
1. FC Nürnberg (Trasferta)
Previsione 29.65%3.37quota equa
EV -0.682%
Vantaggio -0.204%
Kelly -0.290%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.06%29.57%29.64%30.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.153.153.3535.71%31.77%31.75%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 26.68%3.75quota equa
EV -1.29%
Vantaggio -0.347%
Kelly -0.476%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.41%26.58%26.69%28.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.483.503.7033.33%28.70%28.57%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.11%EV -1.74%E -0.771%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.94%EV -3.94%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.11%EV -1.74%E -0.771%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.94%EV -3.94%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.61%EV -3.05%E -1.37%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.60%EV -2.89%E -0.793%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-01 12:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -3.92%E -1.78%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.61%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -5.23%E -2.41%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 11:33 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.68%EV -5.23%E -2.41%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.15%EV -5.67%E -2.62%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -7.15%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.61%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Suprabets | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.87%EV -7.20%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.64%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -6.61%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 11:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-01 11:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.44%EV -6.54%E -3.06%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -0.682%E -0.204%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -7.41%E -3.50%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -7.41%E -3.50%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 11:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.29%E -0.347%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 11:19 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 12:13 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 12:23 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-01 11:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 11:24 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 11:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-01 11:24 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-01 12:08 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 11:19 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 11:19 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-01 11:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.90%EV -11.34%E -5.59%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.51%EV -10.47%E -3.47%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 12:08 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -11.78%E -5.83%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -0.682%E -0.204%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.29%E -0.347%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -11.78%E -5.83%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -0.682%E -0.204%K -0.290%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.29%E -0.347%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.56%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -14.02%E -4.84%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -16.99%E -6.07%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -19.96%E -6.65%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -13.96%E -7.09%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.32%EV -14.84%E -7.61%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.10%EV -11.95%E -4.02%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-01 12:08 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.00%EV -14.84%E -7.61%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.95%EV -16.99%E -6.07%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.05%EV -17.29%E -5.58%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.34%EV -16.15%E -8.41%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.24%EV -6.61%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.34%EV -16.15%E -8.41%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.24%EV -6.61%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-01 12:14 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93% | 0.4% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 0.7% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-03-01 12:24 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.40% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.72% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87% | 1.9% | 2026-03-01 12:09 |