L’École des cotes

Hertha Berlin v 1. FC Nürnberg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hertha Berlin (Local)

Prévision 43.67%2.29cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.771%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.00%43.85%43.67%46.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.922.082.102.2552.08%48.11%47.62%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

1. FC Nürnberg (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.65%3.37cote équitable
EV -0.682%
Avantage -0.204%
Kelly -0.290%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.06%29.57%29.64%30.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.153.153.3535.71%31.77%31.75%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.68%3.75cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.347%
Kelly -0.476%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.41%26.58%26.69%28.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.483.503.7033.33%28.70%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.11%EV -1.74%E -0.771%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.94%EV -3.94%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 12:09
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.11%EV -1.74%E -0.771%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.94%EV -3.94%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-01 12:09
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.61%EV -3.05%E -1.37%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.79%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.60%EV -2.89%E -0.793%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 12:15
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -3.92%E -1.78%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.61%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 12:14
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -5.23%E -2.41%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 11:33
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.68%EV -5.23%E -2.41%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 12:09
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.15%EV -5.67%E -2.62%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.78%EV -7.15%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 12:24
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 12:24
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 12:14
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.61%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 12:09
Suprabets2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.87%EV -7.20%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.64%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 12:09
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -6.61%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 12:09
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 12:24
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -6.61%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 11:34
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 12:09
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.10%E -2.84%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 11:19
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.44%EV -6.54%E -3.06%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -0.682%E -0.204%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 12:24
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -7.41%E -3.50%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 12:09
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -7.41%E -3.50%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 12:09
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 11:59
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -1.29%E -0.347%K -0.476%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 11:19
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 12:13
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 12:23
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 11:34
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -5.29%E -1.49%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 12:09
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 11:24
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 11:29
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 11:24
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-01 11:24
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.96%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 12:08
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -8.29%E -3.95%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-01 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 11:19
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 11:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 11:19
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -10.47%E -5.11%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-01 11:19
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.90%EV -11.34%E -5.59%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.51%EV -10.47%E -3.47%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.60%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 12:08
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -11.78%E -5.83%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -0.682%E -0.204%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.29%E -0.347%K -0.476%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 12:14
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -11.78%E -5.83%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -0.682%E -0.204%K -0.290%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -1.29%E -0.347%K -0.476%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 12:14
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 12:14
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 12:14
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 12:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 12:14
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 12:14
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 12:14
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 12:14
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 12:14
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.16%E -0.656%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -2.62%E -0.718%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 12:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.56%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.29%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 12:09
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -14.02%E -4.84%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -10.62%E -3.17%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-01 12:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -12.65%E -6.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -16.99%E -6.07%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -19.96%E -6.65%K -9.98%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-01 12:24
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.44%EV -13.96%E -7.09%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -3.65%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -3.95%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-01 12:14
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.32%EV -14.84%E -7.61%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.10%EV -11.95%E -4.02%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -13.29%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-01 12:08
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 43.00%EV -14.84%E -7.61%K -15.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.95%EV -16.99%E -6.07%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.05%EV -17.29%E -5.58%K -8.23%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-01 12:24
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.34%EV -16.15%E -8.41%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.24%EV -6.61%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-01 12:14
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.34%EV -16.15%E -8.41%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.24%EV -6.61%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -6.62%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-01 12:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%0.4%2026-03-01 12:24
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-03-01 12:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-01 12:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-01 12:24
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.40%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.87%1.9%2026-03-01 12:09