Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Hertha Berlin v 1. FC Heidenheim

Inizio: 2026-08-15 11:00 UTC

Finale: Hertha Berlin 4–1 1. FC Heidenheim

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Hertha Berlin (Casa)

Previsione 36.15%2.77quota equa
EV -1.30%
Vantaggio -0.475%
Kelly -0.750%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.82%36.48%36.11%41.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.532.552.7344.44%39.47%39.22%36.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

1. FC Heidenheim (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.82%2.64quota equa
EV +13.45%
Vantaggio +4.48%
Kelly +6.72%
Crescita +0.904%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.34%37.53%37.80%38.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.322.462.453.0043.10%40.64%40.82%33.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.03%3.84quota equa
EV -1.09%
Vantaggio -0.287%
Kelly -0.389%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.05%25.99%26.09%26.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.523.503.8030.30%28.44%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Hertha Berlin (Casa): 36.15%; 1. FC Heidenheim (Trasferta): 37.82%; Pareggio: 26.03%. Per 1. FC Heidenheim (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.64. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +13.45%.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -18.65%E -8.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV +13.45%E +4.48%K +6.72%G +0.904%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 14:34
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.68%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.83%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.09%E -0.287%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 10:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.63%EV -6.00%E -2.31%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -4.73%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 10:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.63%EV -6.00%E -2.31%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -4.73%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 10:34
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.39%E -0.638%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.69%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 10:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.00%E -2.31%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 10:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:34
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:34
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:34
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:34
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:34
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:34
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.82%EV -1.30%E -0.475%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.33%EV -6.22%E -2.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:54
Suprabets🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.48%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -6.22%E -2.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -5.27%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -6.97%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.38%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 10:50
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -4.19%E -1.58%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.39%E -0.638%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:54
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -4.19%E -1.58%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:54
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.19%E -1.58%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 10:54
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.19%E -1.58%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 10:53
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -3.69%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:54
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -4.19%E -1.58%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:54
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 10:54
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 10:54
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 10:55
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 10:54
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 10:50
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 10:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 10:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -13.95%E -5.86%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 10:34
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -13.95%E -5.86%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 10:35
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -14.31%E -6.04%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 10:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -14.31%E -6.04%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.36%EV -10.34%E -4.17%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.11%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 10:34
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.36%EV -10.34%E -4.17%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.11%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 10:34
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -6.00%E -2.31%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.69%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 10:53
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -6.00%E -2.31%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.69%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 10:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -3.69%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 10:54
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.00%E -2.31%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 10:49
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 10:53
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 10:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.93%EV -8.53%E -3.37%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.20%EV -9.68%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 10:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.38%EV -12.14%E -5.00%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 10:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.38%EV -12.14%E -5.00%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 10:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.38%EV -12.14%E -5.00%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 10:34
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.00%E -2.31%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 10:54
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -11.13%E -4.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.42%E -4.66%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -11.13%E -4.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 10:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.69%EV -10.70%E -4.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.00%EV -12.27%E -5.29%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-15 10:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-08-15 10:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-08-15 10:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-08-15 10:54
Matchbook◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-08-15 10:50
Smarkets◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-08-15 10:54
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-08-15 10:54