Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hertha Berlin v 1. FC Heidenheim

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 11:00 UTC

Score final : Hertha Berlin 4–1 1. FC Heidenheim

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hertha Berlin (Local)

Prévision 36.15%2.77cote équitable
EV -1.30%
Avantage -0.475%
Kelly -0.750%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.82%36.48%36.11%41.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.532.552.7344.44%39.47%39.22%36.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

1. FC Heidenheim (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.82%2.64cote équitable
EV +13.45%
Avantage +4.48%
Kelly +6.72%
Croissance +0.904%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.34%37.53%37.80%38.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.322.462.453.0043.10%40.64%40.82%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.03%3.84cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.287%
Kelly -0.389%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.05%25.99%26.09%26.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.523.503.8030.30%28.44%28.57%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hertha Berlin (Local) : 36.15% ; 1. FC Heidenheim (Visiteur) : 37.82% ; Match nul : 26.03%. Pour 1. FC Heidenheim (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.64. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.00, soit une espérance positive de +13.45%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -18.65%E -8.29%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV +13.45%E +4.48%K +6.72%G +0.904%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-13 14:34
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.68%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.83%EV -3.19%E -1.25%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.09%E -0.287%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 10:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.63%EV -6.00%E -2.31%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -4.73%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 10:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.63%EV -6.00%E -2.31%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -4.73%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 10:34
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.39%E -0.638%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.69%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 10:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.00%E -2.31%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 10:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:34
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:34
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:34
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:34
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:34
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -5.46%E -2.18%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:34
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.82%EV -1.30%E -0.475%K -0.750%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.33%EV -6.22%E -2.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -7.86%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:54
Suprabets🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.48%EV -4.55%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -6.22%E -2.51%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -5.27%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -6.97%E -2.83%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -8.38%E -2.38%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 10:50
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -4.19%E -1.58%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.39%E -0.638%K -0.869%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:54
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -4.19%E -1.58%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -4.99%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:54
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.19%E -1.58%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 10:54
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -4.19%E -1.58%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 10:53
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.63%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -3.69%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:54
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -4.19%E -1.58%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:54
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 10:54
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 10:54
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 10:55
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 10:54
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 10:50
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 10:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 10:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -13.95%E -5.86%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 10:34
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -13.95%E -5.86%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 10:35
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -14.31%E -6.04%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 10:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -14.31%E -6.04%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -7.35%E -3.00%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.36%EV -10.34%E -4.17%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.11%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 10:34
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.36%EV -10.34%E -4.17%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.11%EV -8.11%E -3.34%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 10:34
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -6.00%E -2.31%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.69%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 10:53
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -6.00%E -2.31%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.69%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 10:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -3.69%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 10:54
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.00%E -2.31%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 10:49
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.60%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 10:53
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.30%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 10:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 35.93%EV -8.53%E -3.37%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.20%EV -9.68%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 10:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.38%EV -12.14%E -5.00%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 10:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.38%EV -12.14%E -5.00%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 10:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.38%EV -12.14%E -5.00%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -9.24%E -3.85%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 10:34
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -6.00%E -2.31%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.50%E -3.38%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 10:54
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -9.61%E -3.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -10.00%E -4.20%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -14.10%E -4.27%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -7.81%E -3.06%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -11.13%E -4.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.20%E -2.96%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.42%E -4.66%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -11.13%E -4.74%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -8.90%E -2.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 10:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.69%EV -10.70%E -4.33%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.00%EV -12.27%E -5.29%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.31%EV -12.80%E -3.82%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-15 10:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-08-15 10:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-08-15 10:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-08-15 10:54
Matchbook◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.54%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-08-15 10:50
Smarkets◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.58%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-08-15 10:54
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-08-15 10:54