The School of Odds
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Hannover 96 v VfL Wolfsburg

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 11:30 UTC

Final: Hannover 96 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hannover 96 (Local)

Prediction 43.16%2.32fair odd
EV -0.739%
Edge -0.321%
Kelly -0.569%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.65%43.02%43.09%44.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.172.162.3049.50%46.11%46.30%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VfL Wolfsburg (Visit)

Prediction 31.75%3.15fair odd
EV -0.940%
Edge -0.301%
Kelly -0.444%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.16%31.91%31.77%33.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.882.903.1237.04%34.72%34.48%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.09%3.99fair odd
EV +0.373%
Edge +0.093%
Kelly +0.124%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.55%25.08%25.14%26.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.633.604.0029.85%27.56%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hannover 96 (Local): 43.16%; VfL Wolfsburg (Visit): 31.75%; Draw: 25.09%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.373%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV +0.373%E +0.093%K +0.124%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 11:24
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.18%EV -5.49%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.01%EV -0.940%E -0.301%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -2.14%E -0.548%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -5.07%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -3.39%E -0.881%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -5.07%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -3.39%E -0.881%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 11:20
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -3.39%E -0.881%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 11:24
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -3.16%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 11:23
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 11:24
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 11:23
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 11:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 11:25
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.01%EV -2.47%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -5.65%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.99%EV -5.49%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 11:25
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 11:25
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 11:20
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 11:24
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 11:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 11:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 11:24
Suprabets🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.01%EV -10.15%E -3.59%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.11%EV -6.65%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 11:24
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 11:20
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 11:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -5.92%E -2.71%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -6.97%E -2.38%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.66%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 11:25
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.41%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 11:24
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -11.53%E -5.62%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -8.41%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 11:23
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.34%EV -11.53%E -5.62%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -8.41%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 10:29
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -14.28%E -5.29%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 11:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -11.53%E -5.62%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 11:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.57%EV -12.39%E -6.10%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.27%EV -10.17%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:19
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:20
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:20
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:20
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:20
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:19
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 11:25
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 11:24
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 11:25
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 11:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 11:24
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.89%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -8.88%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 11:25
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.89%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -8.88%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 11:25
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -14.28%E -5.29%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 11:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.60%EV -12.82%E -6.35%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.23%EV -10.47%E -3.71%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-16 11:24
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.55%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -14.68%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.55%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -14.68%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 11:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.60%EV -8.51%E -4.01%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -15.94%E -4.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 11:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.60%EV -8.51%E -4.01%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -15.94%E -4.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 11:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.60%EV -8.51%E -4.01%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -15.94%E -4.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 11:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-08-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-08-16 11:25
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-08-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-16 11:25
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-08-16 11:25
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-08-16 11:25