Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hannover 96 v VfL Wolfsburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 11:30 UTC

Score final : Hannover 96 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hannover 96 (Local)

Prévision 43.16%2.32cote équitable
EV -0.739%
Avantage -0.321%
Kelly -0.569%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.65%43.02%43.09%44.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.022.172.162.3049.50%46.11%46.30%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

VfL Wolfsburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.75%3.15cote équitable
EV -0.940%
Avantage -0.301%
Kelly -0.444%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.16%31.91%31.77%33.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.882.903.1237.04%34.72%34.48%32.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.09%3.99cote équitable
EV +0.373%
Avantage +0.093%
Kelly +0.124%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.55%25.08%25.14%26.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.633.604.0029.85%27.56%27.78%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hannover 96 (Local) : 43.16% ; VfL Wolfsburg (Visiteur) : 31.75% ; Match nul : 25.09%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.99. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.00, soit une espérance positive de +0.373%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV +0.373%E +0.093%K +0.124%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 11:24
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.18%EV -5.49%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.01%EV -0.940%E -0.301%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -2.14%E -0.548%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -5.07%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -3.39%E -0.881%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -5.07%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -3.39%E -0.881%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 11:20
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -3.39%E -0.881%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 11:24
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -3.16%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 11:23
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 11:24
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 11:23
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 11:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 11:25
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.01%EV -2.47%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -5.65%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.99%EV -5.49%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 11:25
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 11:25
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 11:20
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 11:24
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 11:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 11:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 11:24
Suprabets🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.01%EV -10.15%E -3.59%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.11%EV -6.65%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 11:24
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 11:20
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 11:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -5.92%E -2.71%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -6.97%E -2.38%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.66%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 11:25
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.41%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 11:24
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -11.53%E -5.62%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -8.41%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 11:23
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.34%EV -11.53%E -5.62%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -8.41%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 10:29
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -14.28%E -5.29%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 11:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -11.53%E -5.62%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 11:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.57%EV -12.39%E -6.10%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.27%EV -10.17%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:19
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:20
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:20
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:20
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:20
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:19
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 11:25
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 11:24
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 11:25
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 11:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 11:24
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.89%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -8.88%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 11:25
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.89%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -8.88%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 11:25
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -14.28%E -5.29%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 11:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.60%EV -12.82%E -6.35%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.23%EV -10.47%E -3.71%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-16 11:24
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.55%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -14.68%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.55%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -14.68%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 11:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.60%EV -8.51%E -4.01%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -15.94%E -4.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 11:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.60%EV -8.51%E -4.01%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -15.94%E -4.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 11:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.60%EV -8.51%E -4.01%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -15.94%E -4.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 11:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-08-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-08-16 11:25
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-08-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-16 11:25
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-08-16 11:25
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-08-16 11:25