Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Hannover 96 v VfL Wolfsburg

Inicio: 2026-08-16 11:30 UTC

Final: Hannover 96 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Hannover 96 (Local)

Predicción 43.16%2.32momio equitativo
EV -0.739%
Ventaja -0.321%
Kelly -0.569%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.65%43.02%43.09%44.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.022.172.162.3049.50%46.11%46.30%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

VfL Wolfsburg (Visitante)

Predicción 31.75%3.15momio equitativo
EV -0.940%
Ventaja -0.301%
Kelly -0.444%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.16%31.91%31.77%33.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.882.903.1237.04%34.72%34.48%32.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 25.09%3.99momio equitativo
EV +0.373%
Ventaja +0.093%
Kelly +0.124%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.55%25.08%25.14%26.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.633.604.0029.85%27.56%27.78%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Hannover 96 (Local): 43.16%; VfL Wolfsburg (Visitante): 31.75%; Empate: 25.09%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.99. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.373%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV +0.373%E +0.093%K +0.124%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 11:24
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.18%EV -5.49%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.01%EV -0.940%E -0.301%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -2.14%E -0.548%K -0.737%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -5.07%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -3.39%E -0.881%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.34%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -5.07%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -3.39%E -0.881%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 11:20
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.34%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -3.39%E -0.881%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 11:24
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -3.16%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 11:23
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 11:24
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 11:23
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 11:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.65%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 11:25
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.01%EV -2.47%E -1.09%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.25%EV -5.65%E -1.50%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.99%EV -5.49%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 11:25
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 11:25
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 11:20
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.11%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 11:24
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 11:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 11:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -5.90%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 11:24
Suprabets🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.01%EV -10.15%E -3.59%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.11%EV -6.65%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 11:24
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 11:20
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -7.15%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 11:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -5.92%E -2.71%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.84%EV -6.97%E -2.38%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.66%E -2.08%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 11:25
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.41%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 11:24
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -11.53%E -5.62%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -8.41%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 11:23
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.34%EV -11.53%E -5.62%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -8.41%E -2.30%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.569%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 10:29
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -14.28%E -5.29%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 11:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -11.53%E -5.62%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -9.66%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 11:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.57%EV -12.39%E -6.10%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.27%EV -10.17%E -2.84%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:19
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:20
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:20
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:20
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:20
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -3.76%E -1.69%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 11:19
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 11:25
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -10.92%E -3.08%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 11:24
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 11:25
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 11:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 11:24
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.89%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -8.88%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 11:25
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.89%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -8.88%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 11:25
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -14.28%E -5.29%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 11:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.60%EV -12.82%E -6.35%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.23%EV -10.47%E -3.71%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -12.17%E -3.48%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-16 11:24
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.55%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -14.68%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.55%EV -6.78%E -3.14%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -11.10%E -3.96%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -14.68%E -4.32%K -6.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 11:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.60%EV -8.51%E -4.01%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -15.94%E -4.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 11:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.60%EV -8.51%E -4.01%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -15.94%E -4.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 11:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.60%EV -8.51%E -4.01%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -15.94%E -4.76%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-16 11:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-08-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-08-16 11:25
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-08-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-16 11:25
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.63%1.5%2026-08-16 11:25
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-08-16 11:25