Language:English
Greuther Fürth v Rot-Weiss Essen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Greuther Fürth (Local)
Prediction 52.88%1.89fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.38%52.81%52.87%54.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.731.731.8361.73%57.68%57.80%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit)
Prediction 23.27%4.30fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +0.277%
Kelly +0.359%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 4.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.49%23.26%23.30%24.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.034.004.3527.78%24.80%25.00%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.85%4.19fair odd
EV +0.182%
Edge +0.043%
Kelly +0.057%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.47%23.93%23.83%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.833.854.2028.17%26.11%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Greuther Fürth (Local): 52.88%; Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit): 23.27%; Draw: 23.85%. For Rot-Weiss Essen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV +1.20%E +0.277%K +0.359%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 17:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV +1.20%E +0.277%K +0.359%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -9.57%E -5.60%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -9.57%E -5.60%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 17:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -9.57%E -5.60%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 17:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -9.57%E -5.60%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 17:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -9.57%E -5.60%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -9.57%E -5.60%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -9.57%E -5.60%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.44%EV -10.10%E -5.94%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.44%EV -10.10%E -5.94%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-26 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV -5.87%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.66%EV -0.890%E -0.209%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.10%EV -0.295%E -0.071%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-26 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -10.10%E -5.94%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -1.12%E -0.264%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-26 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -6.40%E -3.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.29%E -0.544%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.25%EV -13.27%E -8.09%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.74%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-26 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.25%EV -13.27%E -8.09%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.74%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-26 17:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.38%EV -14.33%E -8.85%K -23.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%EV -12.94%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-26 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.31%EV -7.99%E -4.59%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -5.78%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 18:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.87%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.89%EV -6.40%E -3.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -5.78%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -6.02%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-26 18:18 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.40%E -3.62%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.23%EV -5.34%E -2.98%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.79%EV -8.57%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -3.23%E -1.76%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -15.32%E -4.32%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-26 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -3.23%E -1.76%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -15.32%E -4.32%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.02%EV -5.87%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV +0.182%E +0.043%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.13%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-26 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.13%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.13%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-26 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.13%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.19%EV -12.74%E -7.72%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 52.85%EV -12.74%E -7.72%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.89%EV -12.94%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.12%EV -9.04%E -5.26%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -16.25%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.