Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Greuther Fürth v Rot-Weiss Essen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 18:30 UTC

Score final : Greuther Fürth 2–0 Rot-Weiss Essen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Greuther Fürth (Local)

Prévision 52.88%1.89cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -3.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.38%52.81%52.87%54.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.731.731.8361.73%57.68%57.80%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rot-Weiss Essen (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.27%4.30cote équitable
EV +1.20%
Avantage +0.277%
Kelly +0.359%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.49%23.26%23.30%24.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.034.004.3527.78%24.80%25.00%22.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.85%4.19cote équitable
EV +0.182%
Avantage +0.043%
Kelly +0.057%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.47%23.93%23.83%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.833.854.2028.17%26.11%25.97%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Greuther Fürth (Local) : 52.88% ; Rot-Weiss Essen (Visiteur) : 23.27% ; Match nul : 23.85%. Pour Rot-Weiss Essen (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.30. 11 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.35, soit une espérance positive de +1.20%.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV +1.20%E +0.277%K +0.359%G +0.004%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.31%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV +1.20%E +0.277%K +0.359%G +0.004%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 17:40
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -9.57%E -5.60%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 17:40
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -9.57%E -5.60%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 17:39
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -9.57%E -5.60%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 17:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -9.57%E -5.60%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 17:39
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -9.57%E -5.60%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -9.57%E -5.60%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 17:40
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.46%EV -9.57%E -5.60%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 17:40
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.44%EV -10.10%E -5.94%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.44%EV -10.10%E -5.94%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.04%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 17:40
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV -5.87%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.66%EV -0.890%E -0.209%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.10%EV -0.295%E -0.071%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-26 18:10
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -10.10%E -5.94%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -1.12%E -0.264%K -0.345%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-26 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.33%EV -6.40%E -3.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -2.29%E -0.544%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 18:20
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.25%EV -13.27%E -8.09%K -20.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.74%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-26 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.25%EV -13.27%E -8.09%K -20.74%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.74%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-26 17:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.38%EV -14.33%E -8.85%K -23.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -4.61%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%EV -12.94%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-26 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.31%EV -7.99%E -4.59%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -5.78%E -1.43%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 18:18
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.87%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 18:20
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.89%EV -6.40%E -3.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -5.78%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -6.02%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-26 18:18
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.40%E -3.62%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-26 18:20
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.10%E -2.05%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-26 18:20
Suprabets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.23%EV -5.34%E -2.98%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.79%EV -8.57%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 18:20
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-26 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -3.23%E -1.76%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -15.32%E -4.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-26 18:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.38%EV -3.23%E -1.76%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.27%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -15.32%E -4.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-26 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.02%EV -5.87%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -10.43%E -2.71%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV +0.182%E +0.043%K +0.057%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-26 18:20
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-26 18:20
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-26 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-26 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.13%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-26 18:10
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.13%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-26 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.13%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-26 18:10
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.59%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.13%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-26 18:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.19%EV -12.74%E -7.72%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-26 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.85%EV -12.74%E -7.72%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -12.76%E -3.40%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.89%EV -12.94%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-26 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.12%EV -9.04%E -5.26%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -16.25%E -4.51%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-26 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.