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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel

2026-11-01 12:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Greuther Fürth (主队)

预测 40.65%2.46公平赔率
EV +3.67%
优势 +1.44%
Kelly +2.37%
增长率 +0.087%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
36.47%40.33%40.67%42.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.342.302.5550.00%42.82%43.48%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

Holstein Kiel (客队)

预测 34.37%2.91公平赔率
EV -3.77%
优势 -1.35%
Kelly -2.09%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.80

博彩公司预测分布
33.29%34.71%34.36%38.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.322.572.602.8043.10%38.92%38.46%35.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.98%4.00公平赔率
EV -0.087%
优势 -0.022%
Kelly -0.029%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.74%24.96%24.96%26.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.643.704.0029.41%27.47%27.03%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Greuther Fürth (主队)：40.65%；Holstein Kiel (客队)：34.37%；平局：24.98%。 对于“Greuther Fürth (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.46。 有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.55，由此产生+3.67%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV +3.67%E +1.44%K +2.37%G +0.087%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV +3.67%E +1.44%K +2.37%G +0.087%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 12:35
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV +3.67%E +1.44%K +2.37%G +0.087%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 12:35
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV +3.67%E +1.44%K +2.37%G +0.087%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV +3.67%E +1.44%K +2.37%G +0.087%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 12:35
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV +3.67%E +1.44%K +2.37%G +0.087%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV +3.67%E +1.44%K +2.37%G +0.087%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV +3.67%E +1.44%K +2.37%G +0.087%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 12:35
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.62%EV +0.821%E +0.331%K +0.554%G +0.005%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.16%EV -18.20%E -7.65%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 12:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -0.399%E -0.163%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -19.23%E -8.18%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 12:35
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -0.399%E -0.163%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -19.23%E -8.18%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -0.399%E -0.163%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -19.23%E -8.18%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.47%EV -1.21%E -0.499%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.20%EV -20.27%E -8.74%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-25 12:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.47%EV -1.21%E -0.499%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.20%EV -20.27%E -8.74%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-25 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 12:35
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -4.46%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -0.087%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 13:15
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -4.46%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 13:50
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.26%EV -6.09%E -2.64%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.04%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.69%EV -3.58%E -0.928%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 14:00
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -6.50%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.50%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-25 13:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.50%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-25 13:15
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.50%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -14.08%E -5.63%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 13:10
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.80%EV -6.90%E -3.01%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.35%EV -6.52%E -2.40%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.85%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.96%EV -7.72%E -3.40%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.31%EV -6.86%E -2.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.73%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 13:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.75%EV -7.72%E -3.40%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-25 15:57
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 13:10
picklebet_au🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 13:10
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 15:25
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 13:45
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 13:10
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 13:10
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 13:45
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-25 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-25 13:45
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-25 13:45
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-25 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.70%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -14.08%E -5.63%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-25 13:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 41.17%EV -13.41%E -6.29%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.99%EV -11.33%E -4.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.84%EV -11.83%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-25 13:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -14.63%E -6.97%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.00%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-25 13:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.45%EV -18.69%E -9.35%K -18.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.29%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.26%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%17.8%2026-10-25 13:10
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 40.46%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.31%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.23%16.6%2026-10-25 13:10
套利（8 种组合） +0.07%Unibet 2.55 (39.2%) / Pinnacle 2.80 (35.7%) / Coolbet 4.00 (25.0%)显示全部 8 种组合
Greuther Fürth (主队)Holstein Kiel (客队)平局利润率
Unibet🎯 2.55 (39.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.80 (35.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.070%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.80 (35.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.070%
Casumo🎯 2.55 (39.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.80 (35.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.070%
Grosvenor🎯 2.55 (39.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.80 (35.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.070%
Unibet (NL)🎯 2.55 (39.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.80 (35.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.070%
betPARX🎯 2.55 (39.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.80 (35.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.070%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.80 (35.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.070%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.55 (39.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.80 (35.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.070%