L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Greuther Fürth v Holstein Kiel

2026-11-01 12:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Greuther Fürth (Local)

Prévision 40.65%2.46cote équitable
EV +3.67%
Avantage +1.44%
Kelly +2.37%
Croissance +0.087%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.47%40.33%40.67%42.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.342.302.5550.00%42.82%43.48%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Holstein Kiel (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.37%2.91cote équitable
EV -3.77%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -2.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.29%34.71%34.36%38.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.322.572.602.8043.10%38.92%38.46%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.98%4.00cote équitable
EV -0.087%
Avantage -0.022%
Kelly -0.029%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.74%24.96%24.96%26.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.643.704.0029.41%27.47%27.03%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Greuther Fürth (Local) : 40.65% ; Holstein Kiel (Visiteur) : 34.37% ; Match nul : 24.98%. Pour Greuther Fürth (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.46. 9 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.55, pour une espérance positive de +3.67%.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV +3.67%E +1.44%K +2.37%G +0.087%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV +3.67%E +1.44%K +2.37%G +0.087%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 12:35
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV +3.67%E +1.44%K +2.37%G +0.087%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 12:35
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV +3.67%E +1.44%K +2.37%G +0.087%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 12:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV +3.67%E +1.44%K +2.37%G +0.087%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 12:35
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV +3.67%E +1.44%K +2.37%G +0.087%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV +3.67%E +1.44%K +2.37%G +0.087%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 12:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.75%EV +3.67%E +1.44%K +2.37%G +0.087%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 12:35
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.62%EV +0.821%E +0.331%K +0.554%G +0.005%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.16%EV -18.20%E -7.65%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 12:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -0.399%E -0.163%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -19.23%E -8.18%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 12:35
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -0.399%E -0.163%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -19.23%E -8.18%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -0.399%E -0.163%K -0.275%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -19.23%E -8.18%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.47%EV -1.21%E -0.499%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.20%EV -20.27%E -8.74%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-25 12:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.47%EV -1.21%E -0.499%K -0.848%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.20%EV -20.27%E -8.74%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-25 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 12:35
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%EV -4.46%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -0.087%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 13:15
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -4.46%E -1.90%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 13:50
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.26%EV -6.09%E -2.64%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.04%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.69%EV -3.58%E -0.928%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 14:00
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -6.50%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.49%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.50%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-25 13:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.50%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.08%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-25 13:15
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.50%E -2.82%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -14.08%E -5.63%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 13:10
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.80%EV -6.90%E -3.01%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.35%EV -6.52%E -2.40%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.85%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.96%EV -7.72%E -3.40%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.31%EV -6.86%E -2.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.73%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 13:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.75%EV -7.72%E -3.40%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-25 15:57
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 13:10
picklebet_au🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 13:10
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-25 15:25
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 13:45
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 13:10
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.42%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -8.92%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 13:10
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 13:45
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -7.21%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-25 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-25 13:45
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-25 13:45
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -8.53%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.64%E -4.09%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-25 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.70%EV -12.60%E -5.86%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -14.08%E -5.63%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-25 13:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 41.17%EV -13.41%E -6.29%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.99%EV -11.33%E -4.39%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.84%EV -11.83%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-25 13:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.84%EV -14.63%E -6.97%K -13.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.00%EV -15.80%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-25 13:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.45%EV -18.69%E -9.35%K -18.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.29%EV -12.36%E -4.85%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.26%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%17.8%2026-10-25 13:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 40.46%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.31%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.23%16.6%2026-10-25 13:10
Arbitrage (8 combinaisons) +0.07%Unibet 2.55 (39.2%) / Pinnacle 2.80 (35.7%) / Coolbet 4.00 (25.0%)Afficher les 8 combinaisons
Greuther Fürth (Local)Holstein Kiel (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
Unibet🎯 2.55 (39.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.80 (35.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.070%
Unibet (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.80 (35.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.070%
Casumo🎯 2.55 (39.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.80 (35.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.070%
Grosvenor🎯 2.55 (39.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.80 (35.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.070%
Unibet (NL)🎯 2.55 (39.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.80 (35.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.070%
betPARX🎯 2.55 (39.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.80 (35.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.070%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.55 (39.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.80 (35.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.070%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.55 (39.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.80 (35.7%)Coolbet🎯 4.00 (25.0%)+0.070%