Language:English
Fortuna Düsseldorf v VfL Bochum
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local)
Prediction 43.93%2.28fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.917%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.56%44.03%43.88%46.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.112.122.2354.05%47.29%47.17%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VfL Bochum (Visit)
Prediction 29.32%3.41fair odd
EV -0.315%
Edge -0.093%
Kelly -0.131%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.75%29.28%29.36%31.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.113.103.4035.09%32.17%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.75%3.74fair odd
EV +2.74%
Edge +0.713%
Kelly +0.964%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 3.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.75%26.69%26.76%27.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.423.403.8432.26%29.25%29.41%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local): 43.93%; VfL Bochum (Visit): 29.32%; Draw: 26.75%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.84, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.26%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.98%EV -7.06%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.75%EV +2.74%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.60%EV -2.48%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.51%EV -3.83%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.89%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-27 17:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -2.66%E -0.801%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -2.66%E -0.801%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -0.315%E -0.093%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 17:23 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.02%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -5.02%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 17:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.25%E -0.984%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 17:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 17:13 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.62%EV -8.19%E -3.92%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -3.83%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.23%EV -7.32%E -3.47%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.25%E -0.984%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -2.05%E -0.917%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -2.05%E -0.917%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.02%EV -10.83%E -5.34%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.30%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-27 17:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -12.15%E -6.07%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -14.97%E -5.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.15%E -6.07%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-27 17:22 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.55%EV -12.59%E -6.33%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.19%EV -15.85%E -5.52%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.26%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-02-27 17:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.05%E -4.01%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.91%EV -16.44%E -5.77%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.38%E -4.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.91%EV -16.44%E -5.77%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.38%E -4.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 44.97%EV -18.74%E -10.13%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.20%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -17.06%E -5.50%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96% | 0.2% | 2026-02-27 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.1% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.1% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 1.5% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |