La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fortuna Düsseldorf v VfL Bochum
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local)
Predicción 43.93%2.28momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -0.917%
Kelly -1.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.56%44.03%43.88%46.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.112.122.2354.05%47.29%47.17%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
VfL Bochum (Visitante)
Predicción 29.32%3.41momio equitativo
EV -0.315%
Ventaja -0.093%
Kelly -0.131%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.75%29.28%29.36%31.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.113.103.4035.09%32.17%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.75%3.74momio equitativo
EV +2.74%
Ventaja +0.713%
Kelly +0.964%
Crecimiento +0.026%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.75%26.69%26.76%27.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.423.403.8432.26%29.25%29.41%26.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.26%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.98%EV -7.06%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.75%EV +2.74%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.60%EV -2.48%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.51%EV -3.83%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.89%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-27 17:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -2.66%E -0.801%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -2.66%E -0.801%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -0.315%E -0.093%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 17:23 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.02%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -5.02%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 17:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.25%E -0.984%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 17:23 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 17:13 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.62%EV -8.19%E -3.92%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -3.83%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Suprabets | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.23%EV -7.32%E -3.47%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 17:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 17:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.25%E -0.984%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 17:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -2.05%E -0.917%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -2.05%E -0.917%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 17:05 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.02%EV -10.83%E -5.34%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.30%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-27 17:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -12.15%E -6.07%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -14.97%E -5.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.15%E -6.07%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-27 17:22 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.55%EV -12.59%E -6.33%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.19%EV -15.85%E -5.52%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.26%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-02-27 17:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.05%E -4.01%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.91%EV -16.44%E -5.77%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.38%E -4.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.91%EV -16.44%E -5.77%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.38%E -4.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 44.97%EV -18.74%E -10.13%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.20%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -17.06%E -5.50%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96% | 0.2% | 2026-02-27 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.1% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.1% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Smarkets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 1.5% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |