L’École des cotesFrançais
Fortuna Düsseldorf v VfL Bochum
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local)
Prévision 43.93%2.28cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -0.917%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.56%44.03%43.88%46.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.112.122.2354.05%47.29%47.17%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
VfL Bochum (Visiteur)
Prévision 29.32%3.41cote équitable
EV -0.315%
Avantage -0.093%
Kelly -0.131%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.75%29.28%29.36%31.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.113.103.4035.09%32.17%32.26%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.75%3.74cote équitable
EV +2.74%
Avantage +0.713%
Kelly +0.964%
Croissance +0.026%
avec la cote maximale 3.84
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.75%26.69%26.76%27.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.423.403.8432.26%29.25%29.41%26.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.26%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.98%EV -7.06%E -2.23%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.75%EV +2.74%E +0.713%K +0.964%G +0.026% | 5.2% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.60%EV -2.48%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.51%EV -3.83%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.89%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-27 17:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-27 17:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -2.66%E -0.801%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -2.66%E -0.801%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -0.315%E -0.093%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.68%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-27 17:23 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.02%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -5.02%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 17:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.25%E -0.984%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 17:23 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 17:13 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.36%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.62%EV -8.19%E -3.92%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -3.83%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -7.43%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Suprabets | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.23%EV -7.32%E -3.47%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-27 17:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 17:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -7.70%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.25%E -0.984%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 17:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -2.05%E -0.917%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -2.05%E -0.917%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -5.56%E -2.59%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -7.64%E -2.43%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-27 17:05 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.76%E -3.69%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.03%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -3.36%E -1.53%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.79%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.02%EV -10.83%E -5.34%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.30%EV -10.58%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-27 17:08 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -12.15%E -6.07%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -14.97%E -5.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -10.37%E -3.10%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-02-27 17:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -4.24%E -1.95%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -12.15%E -6.07%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -6.18%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-02-27 17:22 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.55%EV -12.59%E -6.33%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.19%EV -15.85%E -5.52%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.26%EV -11.71%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-02-27 17:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.95%E -4.85%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.11%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.05%E -4.01%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.91%EV -16.44%E -5.77%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.38%E -4.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.56%EV -6.88%E -3.24%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.91%EV -16.44%E -5.77%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.38%E -4.50%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-27 07:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 44.97%EV -18.74%E -10.13%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.20%EV -13.51%E -4.58%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.83%EV -17.06%E -5.50%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96% | 0.2% | 2026-02-27 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.1% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75% | 1.1% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |
| Smarkets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.80% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 1.5% | 2026-02-27 17:24 |