Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.39
assuming max odds 2.95
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fortuna Düsseldorf (Local): 40.39%; Hertha Berlin (Visit): 33.43%; Draw: 26.19%. For Hertha Berlin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -1.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.75%EV -3.48%E -1.46%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -4.06%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 12:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -3.88%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -3.88%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 13:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.88%EV -4.29%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.29%EV -2.72%E -0.936%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV -1.80%E -0.480%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-22 12:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.69%EV -4.29%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.25%EV -3.06%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 08:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.69%EV -4.29%E -1.81%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.25%EV -3.06%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-22 08:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.27%EV -5.09%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.80%EV -6.40%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -4.42%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-22 11:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.09%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -3.11%E -0.840%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 11:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.09%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 11:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -5.09%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.74%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -5.09%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.74%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 13:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -5.09%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.74%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -5.09%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.74%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 13:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -5.09%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.74%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 13:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -5.09%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.74%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 13:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -5.09%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.74%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.32%EV -5.50%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.73%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.58%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.69%EV -5.90%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -9.74%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-16 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.69%EV -5.90%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -9.74%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -7.04%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-16 13:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.40%EV -6.31%E -2.72%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.49%EV -11.42%E -4.31%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-16 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -1.39%E -0.470%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 12:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.40%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 12:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.40%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 11:19 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.60%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.24%EV -6.07%E -2.16%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16%EV -6.51%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 11:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.73%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -4.73%E -1.66%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-22 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 12:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.40%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 11:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.40%E -2.29%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -7.07%E -2.54%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.30%EV -7.07%E -2.54%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.74%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 12:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.74%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 12:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.74%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.35%E -2.38%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-22 10:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-22 11:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-22 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-22 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-22 11:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.74%EV -7.52%E -3.28%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -6.07%E -2.16%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -6.25%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-22 12:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.73%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -12.08%E -4.59%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-22 11:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -12.08%E -4.59%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-22 11:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.42%E -4.74%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-22 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -12.42%E -4.74%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-22 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -13.09%E -5.03%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-16 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -13.09%E -5.03%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-16 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -11.15%E -5.07%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.07%E -2.94%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-22 12:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.66%EV -11.15%E -5.07%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.88%EV -9.08%E -3.34%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.46%EV -11.49%E -3.40%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-22 12:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.15%E -5.07%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.74%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-22 11:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.13%EV -12.36%E -5.70%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.49%EV -13.09%E -5.03%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -13.58%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-22 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.17%E -6.13%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -13.09%E -5.03%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-22 10:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -15.19%E -7.23%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -9.74%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -12.27%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-22 12:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.24%EV -15.19%E -7.23%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.50%EV -13.09%E -5.03%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.26%EV -18.82%E -6.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-03-22 12:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.56%EV -17.21%E -8.40%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.61%EV -14.76%E -5.79%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.82%EV -18.82%E -6.07%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-03-22 12:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.39% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-03-22 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 11:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.78% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 12:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.77% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23% | 3.1% | 2026-03-22 08:19 |