默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC St. Pauli v VfL Wolfsburg

开赛时间: 2026-09-12 18:30 UTC

最终结果: FC St. Pauli 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC St. Pauli (主队)

预测 37.57%2.66公平赔率
EV -1.20%
优势 -0.455%
Kelly -0.735%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.63

博彩公司预测分布
36.20%37.61%37.58%39.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.432.452.6344.44%41.23%40.82%38.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

VfL Wolfsburg (客队)

预测 36.46%2.74公平赔率
EV -1.56%
优势 -0.578%
Kelly -0.918%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
34.55%36.48%36.41%37.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.372.562.552.7042.19%39.05%39.22%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.97%3.85公平赔率
EV -2.08%
优势 -0.551%
Kelly -0.750%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.77

博彩公司预测分布
25.06%25.92%26.01%26.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.553.573.7730.30%28.20%28.01%26.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:FC St. Pauli (主队):37.57%;VfL Wolfsburg (客队):36.46%;平局:25.97%。 对于“FC St. Pauli (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.66。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.63,期望值为-1.20%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.81%EV -1.20%E -0.455%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.52%EV -5.94%E -2.30%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.68%EV -2.08%E -0.551%K -0.750%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -2.32%E -0.894%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:15
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.43%EV -4.58%E -1.80%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -7.53%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 18:29
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.60%E -0.693%K -0.945%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-12 18:20
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:15
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 18:05
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 18:20
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -6.83%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.67%EV -3.64%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -6.83%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.67%EV -3.64%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.92%EV -7.58%E -3.08%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.02%EV -5.57%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -7.01%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 18:25
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 18:20
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 18:20
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.79%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 18:15
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 18:26
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 18:25
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 18:15
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 18:06
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 18:06
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 18:05
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.10%EV -8.12%E -3.22%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 18:15
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.10%EV -8.12%E -3.22%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-12 18:14
Suprabets🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.58%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.48%EV -7.39%E -2.91%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 18:28
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 18:05
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 18:05
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -12.50%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 18:15
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.68%E -4.36%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-12 18:20
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 17:55
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 17:55
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 17:55
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.99%EV -11.72%E -4.99%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 36.67%EV -13.59%E -5.74%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.1%2026-09-12 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.67%EV -12.47%E -5.35%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -11.41%E -4.69%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.99%E -3.88%K -5.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.60%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -14.35%E -6.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 17:55
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -14.35%E -6.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-12 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -14.35%E -6.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-12 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -14.35%E -6.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-12 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -15.47%E -6.88%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-12 17:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.72%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.4%2026-09-12 18:25
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.86%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.59%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.54%0.5%2026-09-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-09-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-09-12 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.62%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-09-12 18:25
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-09-12 18:25