Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.63
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.77
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: FC St. Pauli (Casa): 37.57%; VfL Wolfsburg (Trasferta): 36.46%; Pareggio: 25.97%. Per FC St. Pauli (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.66. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.63, con un valore atteso del -1.20%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.81%EV -1.20%E -0.455%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.52%EV -5.94%E -2.30%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.68%EV -2.08%E -0.551%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -2.32%E -0.894%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.43%EV -4.58%E -1.80%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -7.53%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 18:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.60%E -0.693%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -6.83%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.67%EV -3.64%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -6.83%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.67%EV -3.64%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.92%EV -7.58%E -3.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.02%EV -5.57%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -7.01%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.79%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 18:26 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 18:06 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 18:06 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.10%EV -8.12%E -3.22%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.10%EV -8.12%E -3.22%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 18:14 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.58%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.48%EV -7.39%E -2.91%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 18:28 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -12.50%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.68%E -4.36%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.99%EV -11.72%E -4.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.67%EV -13.59%E -5.74%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.67%EV -12.47%E -5.35%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -11.41%E -4.69%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.99%E -3.88%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.60%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -14.35%E -6.29%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -14.35%E -6.29%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -14.35%E -6.29%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -14.35%E -6.29%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -15.47%E -6.88%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.72% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.08% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20% | 0.4% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.86% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.59% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.54% | 0.5% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.62% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |