Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.77
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC St. Pauli (Local): 37.57%; VfL Wolfsburg (Visitante): 36.46%; Empate: 25.97%. Para FC St. Pauli (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.66. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.63, con un valor esperado de -1.20%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.81%EV -1.20%E -0.455%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.52%EV -5.94%E -2.30%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.68%EV -2.08%E -0.551%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -2.32%E -0.894%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -4.20%E -1.65%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.43%EV -4.58%E -1.80%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.87%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.70%EV -7.53%E -2.12%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 18:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.60%E -0.693%K -0.945%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.08%E -2.43%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -6.83%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.67%EV -3.64%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -6.83%E -2.76%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.67%EV -3.64%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.92%EV -7.58%E -3.08%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.02%EV -5.57%E -2.15%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -7.01%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.90%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.79%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 18:26 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 18:06 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 18:06 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.10%EV -8.12%E -3.22%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -7.96%E -3.25%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.10%EV -8.12%E -3.22%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-12 18:14 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.13%EV -8.71%E -3.58%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.48%EV -7.39%E -2.91%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 18:28 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 18:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -12.50%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -9.84%E -4.10%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.68%E -4.36%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -10.59%E -4.45%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -1.56%E -0.578%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.20%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.99%EV -11.72%E -4.99%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.67%EV -13.59%E -5.74%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.34%EV -14.29%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-12 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.67%EV -12.47%E -5.35%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -11.41%E -4.69%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.99%E -3.88%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -13.60%E -5.91%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -8.85%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -14.35%E -6.29%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -14.35%E -6.29%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -14.35%E -6.29%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -14.35%E -6.29%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -10.39%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -15.47%E -6.88%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.68%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.01%EV -11.69%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.72% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.08% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20% | 0.4% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.86% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.59% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.54% | 0.5% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.62% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.25% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71% | 1.0% | 2026-09-12 18:25 |