Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.54
assuming max odds 6.01
assuming max odds 4.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Schalke 04 (Local): 62.33%; Karlsruher SC (Visit): 16.62%; Draw: 21.05%. For Karlsruher SC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.01, with an expected value of -0.103%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 11:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.27%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV -0.269%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60%EV -1.06%E -0.226%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.27%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV -0.269%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60%EV -1.06%E -0.226%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-05 10:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.09%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 16.06%EV -0.103%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85%EV -2.54%E -0.548%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.54%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -6.92%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -8.43%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.54%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -6.92%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -8.43%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -12.74%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -12.74%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 11:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -0.269%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.14%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -6.92%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 11:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -4.42%E -0.769%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.51%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.51%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.51%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.51%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.51%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.51%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -4.42%E -0.769%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -6.92%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 10:56 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -4.42%E -0.769%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 10:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -4.42%E -0.769%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -8.85%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 10:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -11.90%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -6.32%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 10:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -11.90%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -6.32%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 11:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -10.53%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -10.53%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -10.53%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 11:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.89%E -3.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 11:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.89%E -3.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.89%E -3.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.89%E -3.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.82%EV -7.13%E -4.79%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -13.57%E -2.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -7.76%E -5.24%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.269%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.76%E -5.24%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -4.42%E -0.769%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.98%EV -7.76%E -5.24%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -3.59%E -0.620%K -0.749%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -6.32%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 10:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -7.76%E -5.24%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -4.42%E -0.769%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.19%EV -8.38%E -5.70%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.269%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -1.06%E -0.226%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-05 11:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.33%EV -8.38%E -5.70%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -0.269%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -9.63%E -6.64%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -12.74%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.09%EV -10.53%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 11:08 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.45%EV -9.63%E -6.64%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.81%EV -11.90%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.73%EV -13.69%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.45%EV -9.63%E -6.64%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.81%EV -11.90%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.73%EV -13.69%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.25%E -7.12%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.24%EV -10.25%E -7.12%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.91%EV -11.90%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.25%E -7.12%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-05 11:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -10.25%E -7.12%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -20.22%E -4.21%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -10.25%E -7.12%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -16.89%E -3.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -24.22%E -6.73%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.68%EV -10.87%E -7.60%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.80%EV -12.74%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.51%EV -13.69%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-05 10:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 61.92%EV -12.12%E -8.59%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.79%EV -13.57%E -2.61%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29%EV -13.69%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-05 11:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.19% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.08% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.85% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 10:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.06% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.4% | 2026-04-05 11:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.21% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90% | 1.8% | 2026-04-05 11:25 |