La escuela de los momios

FC Schalke 04 v Karlsruher SC

Inicio: 2026-04-05 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Schalke 04 (Local)

Predicción 62.33%1.60momio equitativo
EV -4.02%
Ventaja -2.61%
Kelly -7.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.24%62.23%62.25%64.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.491.501.5470.92%66.98%66.67%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Karlsruher SC (Visitante)

Predicción 16.62%6.02momio equitativo
EV -0.103%
Ventaja -0.017%
Kelly -0.021%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.52%16.68%16.74%18.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.505.506.0120.83%18.19%18.18%16.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.05%4.75momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.226%
Kelly -0.287%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.08%21.09%21.00%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.314.304.7027.78%23.20%23.26%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:14
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.27%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV -0.269%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60%EV -1.06%E -0.226%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 10:55
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.27%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV -0.269%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60%EV -1.06%E -0.226%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 10:54
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 63.09%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 16.06%EV -0.103%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85%EV -2.54%E -0.548%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 11:15
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.54%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -6.92%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -8.43%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:55
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.54%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -6.92%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -8.43%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:55
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -12.74%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -12.74%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 11:08
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -0.269%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 11:00
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.14%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -6.92%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 11:09
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 10:49
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -4.42%E -0.769%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 10:55
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 61.51%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:50
TABtouch1.51I 66.23%NM 61.51%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:49
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.51%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:50
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.51%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:50
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.51%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:50
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 61.51%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:55
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -4.42%E -0.769%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:49
Suprabets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -6.92%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 10:56
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -4.42%E -0.769%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:10
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:00
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 10:55
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -4.42%E -0.769%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -8.85%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 10:59
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -11.90%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -6.32%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 10:59
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -11.90%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -6.32%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:00
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 11:14
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -10.53%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 10:50
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -10.53%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -10.53%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 10:50
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 11:09
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 11:10
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 11:09
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.89%E -3.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 11:14
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.89%E -3.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.89%E -3.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 11:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.89%E -3.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 11:15
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.82%EV -7.13%E -4.79%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -13.57%E -2.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 11:00
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -7.76%E -5.24%K -16.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.269%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 11:10
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.76%E -5.24%K -16.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -4.42%E -0.769%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:00
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.98%EV -7.76%E -5.24%K -16.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -3.59%E -0.620%K -0.749%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -6.32%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 10:59
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -7.76%E -5.24%K -16.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -4.42%E -0.769%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 11:00
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.19%EV -8.38%E -5.70%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.269%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -1.06%E -0.226%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:15
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.33%EV -8.38%E -5.70%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -0.269%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:10
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -9.63%E -6.64%K -21.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -12.74%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.09%EV -10.53%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 11:08
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 61.45%EV -9.63%E -6.64%K -21.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.81%EV -11.90%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.73%EV -13.69%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 10:49
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 61.45%EV -9.63%E -6.64%K -21.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.81%EV -11.90%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.73%EV -13.69%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 10:50
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.25%E -7.12%K -23.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 11:10
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.24%EV -10.25%E -7.12%K -23.29%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.91%EV -11.90%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 11:10
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.25%E -7.12%K -23.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-05 11:09
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -10.25%E -7.12%K -23.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -20.22%E -4.21%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-05 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -10.25%E -7.12%K -23.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -16.89%E -3.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -24.22%E -6.73%K -9.31%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-05 11:10
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.68%EV -10.87%E -7.60%K -25.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.80%EV -12.74%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.51%EV -13.69%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 10:50
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.92%EV -12.12%E -8.59%K -29.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.79%EV -13.57%E -2.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29%EV -13.69%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-05 11:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.19%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.08%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%0.5%2026-04-05 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%0.9%2026-04-05 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%0.9%2026-04-05 11:25
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.85%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%0.9%2026-04-05 10:54
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.06%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.4%2026-04-05 11:24
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90%1.8%2026-04-05 11:25