Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Schalke 04 v Karlsruher SC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 11:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Schalke 04 (Local)

Prévision 62.33%1.60cote équitable
EV -4.02%
Avantage -2.61%
Kelly -7.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.24%62.23%62.25%64.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.411.491.501.5470.92%66.98%66.67%64.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Karlsruher SC (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.62%6.02cote équitable
EV -0.103%
Avantage -0.017%
Kelly -0.021%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.52%16.68%16.74%18.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.505.506.0120.83%18.19%18.18%16.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.05%4.75cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.226%
Kelly -0.287%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.08%21.09%21.00%23.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.314.304.7027.78%23.20%23.26%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Schalke 04 (Local) : 62.33% ; Karlsruher SC (Visiteur) : 16.62% ; Match nul : 21.05%. Pour Karlsruher SC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.02. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 6.01, pour une espérance de -0.103% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.27%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV -0.269%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60%EV -1.06%E -0.226%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 10:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.27%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13%EV -0.269%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60%EV -1.06%E -0.226%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 10:54
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.09%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 16.06%EV -0.103%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.85%EV -2.54%E -0.548%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-05 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.54%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -6.92%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -8.43%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.54%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -6.92%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -8.43%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 10:55
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -12.74%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:00
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -12.74%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 11:08
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -0.269%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 11:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.14%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -6.92%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 11:09
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 10:49
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.57%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -4.42%E -0.769%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 10:55
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.51%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:50
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.51%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:49
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.51%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.51%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.51%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:50
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.51%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.89%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 10:55
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -4.42%E -0.769%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 10:49
Suprabets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -6.92%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 10:56
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -4.42%E -0.769%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:00
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 10:55
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -4.42%E -0.769%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -8.85%E -2.04%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 10:59
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -11.90%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -6.32%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 10:59
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.47%EV -11.90%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -6.32%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:00
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 11:14
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -10.53%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 10:50
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -10.53%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -10.53%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 10:50
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 11:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 11:09
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.89%E -3.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 11:14
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.89%E -3.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.89%E -3.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 11:15
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.89%E -3.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.82%EV -7.13%E -4.79%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -13.57%E -2.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 11:00
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -7.76%E -5.24%K -16.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -0.269%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.76%E -5.24%K -16.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -4.42%E -0.769%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.27%E -1.17%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.98%EV -7.76%E -5.24%K -16.16%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -3.59%E -0.620%K -0.749%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.95%EV -6.32%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 10:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -7.76%E -5.24%K -16.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -4.42%E -0.769%K -0.931%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 11:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.19%EV -8.38%E -5.70%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.269%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -1.06%E -0.226%K -0.287%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:15
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.33%EV -8.38%E -5.70%K -17.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -0.269%E -0.045%K -0.054%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -7.38%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -9.63%E -6.64%K -21.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -12.74%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.09%EV -10.53%E -2.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 11:08
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.45%EV -9.63%E -6.64%K -21.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.81%EV -11.90%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.73%EV -13.69%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 10:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.45%EV -9.63%E -6.64%K -21.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.81%EV -11.90%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.73%EV -13.69%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 10:50
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.25%E -7.12%K -23.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.24%EV -10.25%E -7.12%K -23.29%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.91%EV -11.90%E -2.25%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -9.48%E -2.21%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 11:10
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.25%E -7.12%K -23.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -8.58%E -1.56%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.80%E -3.95%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-05 11:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -10.25%E -7.12%K -23.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -20.22%E -4.21%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -11.59%E -2.76%K -3.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-05 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -10.25%E -7.12%K -23.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -16.89%E -3.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -24.22%E -6.73%K -9.31%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-05 11:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.68%EV -10.87%E -7.60%K -25.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.80%EV -12.74%E -2.43%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.51%EV -13.69%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 10:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.92%EV -12.12%E -8.59%K -29.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.79%EV -13.57%E -2.61%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.29%EV -13.69%E -3.34%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-05 11:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.19%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.08%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%0.5%2026-04-05 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%0.9%2026-04-05 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.34%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%0.9%2026-04-05 11:25
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.85%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.81%0.9%2026-04-05 10:54
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.06%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.4%2026-04-05 11:24
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.21%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.90%1.8%2026-04-05 11:25