Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Schalke 04 v Hannover 96

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 12:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Schalke 04 (Local)

Prediction 45.37%2.20fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.86%45.41%45.31%46.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.052.052.1454.05%48.88%48.78%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hannover 96 (Visit)

Prediction 28.56%3.50fair odd
EV +0.538%
Edge +0.153%
Kelly +0.214%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.51%28.57%28.57%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.213.203.5234.72%31.15%31.25%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.07%3.84fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.596%
Kelly -0.813%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%26.01%26.12%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.493.453.7532.26%28.64%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Schalke 04 (Local): 45.37%; Hannover 96 (Visit): 28.56%; Draw: 26.07%. For Hannover 96 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.538%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.11%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.51%EV +0.538%E +0.153%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.38%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 12:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.24%E -0.596%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.24%E -0.596%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 11:40
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 12:25
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 11:40
Suprabets🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.84%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.59%EV -3.17%E -0.936%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.57%EV -8.23%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 11:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.72%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -4.60%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -7.71%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 12:20
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 11:40
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 11:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.45%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 12:20
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.54%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 11:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 12:20
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 12:19
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.54%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 12:18
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 11:40
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:20
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 11:40
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 11:45
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 12:25
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.24%E -0.596%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 12:05
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.45%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.45%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 12:20
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.45%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 12:20
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 12:05
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 12:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 12:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.57%EV -11.08%E -5.65%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.54%EV -10.60%E -3.39%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.54%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.54%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 12:25
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-15 11:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.05%EV -13.80%E -7.26%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -12.89%E -4.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-15 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -12.89%E -4.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-15 12:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.92%EV -14.71%E -7.82%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.31%EV -12.89%E -4.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.77%EV -12.66%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.27%EV -11.99%E -6.18%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 45.18%EV -16.07%E -8.69%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.86%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.96%EV -19.18%E -6.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-15 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -13.35%E -6.99%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -17.74%E -6.16%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -19.18%E -6.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-15 11:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.79%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-15 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-03-15 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-03-15 12:25
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-03-15 12:20