La escuela de los momios

FC Schalke 04 v Hannover 96

Inicio: 2026-03-15 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Schalke 04 (Local)

Predicción 45.37%2.20momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.86%45.41%45.31%46.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.052.052.1454.05%48.88%48.78%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hannover 96 (Visitante)

Predicción 28.56%3.50momio equitativo
EV +0.538%
Ventaja +0.153%
Kelly +0.214%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.51%28.57%28.57%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.213.203.5234.72%31.15%31.25%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.07%3.84momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.596%
Kelly -0.813%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.01%26.01%26.12%27.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.493.453.7532.26%28.64%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.11%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.51%EV +0.538%E +0.153%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.38%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 12:20
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.24%E -0.596%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 12:20
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.24%E -0.596%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 12:20
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 11:40
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 12:25
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 11:40
Suprabets2.04I 49.02%NM 45.84%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.59%EV -3.17%E -0.936%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.57%EV -8.23%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 11:39
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.72%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -4.60%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -7.71%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 12:20
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 11:40
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 11:39
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.45%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 12:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.54%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 12:20
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 12:19
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.54%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 12:18
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 11:40
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:20
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 11:40
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 11:40
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 11:45
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 11:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 12:25
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.24%E -0.596%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 12:25
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 12:05
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 12:05
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.45%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.45%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 12:20
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.45%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 12:20
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 12:05
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 12:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 12:19
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.57%EV -11.08%E -5.65%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.54%EV -10.60%E -3.39%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.54%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 12:25
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.54%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 12:25
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-15 11:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.05%EV -13.80%E -7.26%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 12:20
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -12.89%E -4.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-15 12:05
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -12.89%E -4.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-15 12:05
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.92%EV -14.71%E -7.82%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.31%EV -12.89%E -4.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.77%EV -12.66%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.27%EV -11.99%E -6.18%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 12:20
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.18%EV -16.07%E -8.69%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.86%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.96%EV -19.18%E -6.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-15 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -13.35%E -6.99%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -17.74%E -6.16%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -19.18%E -6.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-15 11:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.79%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-15 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-03-15 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-03-15 12:25
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-03-15 12:20