L’École des cotes

FC Schalke 04 v Hannover 96

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Schalke 04 (Local)

Prévision 45.37%2.20cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.86%45.41%45.31%46.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.052.052.1454.05%48.88%48.78%46.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hannover 96 (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.56%3.50cote équitable
EV +0.538%
Avantage +0.153%
Kelly +0.214%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.51%28.57%28.57%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.213.203.5234.72%31.15%31.25%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.07%3.84cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -0.596%
Kelly -0.813%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.01%26.01%26.12%27.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.493.453.7532.26%28.64%28.99%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.11%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.51%EV +0.538%E +0.153%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.38%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 12:20
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.24%E -0.596%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 12:20
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -2.24%E -0.596%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 12:20
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 11:40
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 12:25
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -2.89%E -0.850%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 11:40
Suprabets2.04I 49.02%NM 45.84%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.59%EV -3.17%E -0.936%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.57%EV -8.23%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 11:39
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.72%EV -7.45%E -3.65%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -4.60%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -7.71%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 12:20
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 11:40
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 11:39
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.45%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 12:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -3.54%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 12:20
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 12:19
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.54%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 12:18
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.75%E -1.74%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 11:40
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -5.64%E -2.71%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 12:20
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 11:40
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 11:40
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 11:45
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 11:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 12:25
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.89%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.24%E -0.596%K -0.813%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 12:25
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 12:05
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.75%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 12:05
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -7.45%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -3.82%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:05
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.45%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 12:20
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.60%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.45%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 12:20
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 12:05
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -4.73%E -2.25%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 12:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -10.03%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -4.84%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 12:19
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.57%EV -11.08%E -5.65%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.54%EV -10.60%E -3.39%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 12:20
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.54%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 12:25
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.00%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -3.54%E -0.956%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 12:25
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 11:40
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.27%E -4.63%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-15 11:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.05%EV -13.80%E -7.26%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -11.46%E -3.70%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -11.36%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 12:20
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -12.89%E -4.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-15 12:05
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 43.97%EV -8.36%E -4.14%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.12%EV -12.89%E -4.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-15 12:05
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.92%EV -14.71%E -7.82%K -16.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.31%EV -12.89%E -4.22%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.77%EV -12.66%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-15 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.27%EV -11.99%E -6.18%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -10.06%E -2.91%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 12:20
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.18%EV -16.07%E -8.69%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.86%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.96%EV -19.18%E -6.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-15 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -13.35%E -6.99%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -17.74%E -6.16%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -19.18%E -6.19%K -9.13%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-15 11:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-15 12:20
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.79%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-15 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-03-15 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-03-15 12:25
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-03-15 12:20