A Escola das Odds

FC Schalke 04 v Arminia Bielefeld

Início: 2026-03-06 17:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Schalke 04 (Local)

Previsão 49.58%2.02odd justa
EV -3.32%
Vantagem -1.70%
Kelly -3.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.62%49.65%49.58%52.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.681.841.851.9559.52%54.35%54.05%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arminia Bielefeld (Visitante)

Previsão 24.05%4.16odd justa
EV -0.450%
Vantagem -0.109%
Kelly -0.143%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.59%24.00%24.06%25.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.903.904.1428.57%25.65%25.64%24.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.37%3.79odd justa
EV -2.42%
Vantagem -0.653%
Kelly -0.895%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.16%26.35%26.36%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.513.503.7033.33%28.50%28.57%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -3.32%E -1.70%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 16:45
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.20%EV -4.31%E -2.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.40%EV -0.450%E -0.109%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.40%EV -3.21%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 17:16
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -4.31%E -2.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 17:25
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 12:51
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 14:35
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 17:25
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.37%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 14:31
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 17:24
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 17:25
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 17:25
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -5.80%E -3.05%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 14:30
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -5.80%E -3.05%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 17:25
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.37%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 17:24
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 14:30
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.98%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -2.42%E -0.653%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 16:45
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.98%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -2.42%E -0.653%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 16:45
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.84%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV -0.450%E -0.109%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.19%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 17:25
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 17:19
Suprabets1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.43%EV -6.90%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 16:54
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:25
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -7.78%E -4.18%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 14:45
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -7.78%E -4.18%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.52%EV -7.78%E -4.18%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 14:30
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -8.28%E -4.47%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.42%E -0.653%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 17:15
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -8.28%E -4.47%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 16:45
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.28%E -4.47%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 16:55
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.28%E -4.47%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 16:55
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.28%E -4.47%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 16:55
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.27%E -5.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-06 17:20
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.27%E -5.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.27%E -5.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.27%E -5.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 12:50
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.27%E -5.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 12:50
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -10.26%E -5.67%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -2.42%E -0.653%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 17:10
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -10.26%E -5.67%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -2.42%E -0.653%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.54%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.23%EV -11.51%E -3.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 17:05
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -14.28%E -4.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-06 17:20
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -15.84%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-06 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -20.88%E -6.96%K -10.44%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-06 17:20
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -11.75%E -6.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 17:10
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -11.75%E -6.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 17:10
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -12.24%E -6.92%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -14.23%E -8.22%K -19.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-06 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 51.89%EV -15.22%E -8.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 51.89%EV -15.22%E -8.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-06 17:10
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 49.79%EV -16.71%E -9.94%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.23%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.98%EV -18.24%E -5.88%K -8.69%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-06 17:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.89%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-03-06 17:25
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-03-06 17:25
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-03-06 17:25