La escuela de los momios

FC Schalke 04 v Arminia Bielefeld

Inicio: 2026-03-06 17:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Schalke 04 (Local)

Predicción 49.58%2.02momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -3.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.62%49.65%49.58%52.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.841.851.9559.52%54.35%54.05%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Arminia Bielefeld (Visitante)

Predicción 24.05%4.16momio equitativo
EV -0.450%
Ventaja -0.109%
Kelly -0.143%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.59%24.00%24.06%25.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.903.904.1428.57%25.65%25.64%24.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.37%3.79momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.653%
Kelly -0.895%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.16%26.35%26.36%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.513.503.7033.33%28.50%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -3.32%E -1.70%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 16:45
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.20%EV -4.31%E -2.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.40%EV -0.450%E -0.109%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.40%EV -3.21%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 17:16
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -4.31%E -2.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 17:25
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 12:51
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 14:35
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 17:25
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.37%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 14:31
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 17:24
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 17:25
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 17:25
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -5.80%E -3.05%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 14:30
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -5.80%E -3.05%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 17:25
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.37%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 17:24
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 14:30
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.98%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -2.42%E -0.653%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 16:45
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.98%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -2.42%E -0.653%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 16:45
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.84%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV -0.450%E -0.109%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.19%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 17:25
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 17:19
Suprabets1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.43%EV -6.90%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 16:54
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:25
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -7.78%E -4.18%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 14:45
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -7.78%E -4.18%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.52%EV -7.78%E -4.18%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 14:30
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -8.28%E -4.47%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.42%E -0.653%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 17:15
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -8.28%E -4.47%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 16:45
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.28%E -4.47%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 16:55
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.28%E -4.47%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 16:55
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.28%E -4.47%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 16:55
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.27%E -5.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-06 17:20
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.27%E -5.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.27%E -5.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.27%E -5.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 12:50
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.27%E -5.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 12:50
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -10.26%E -5.67%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -2.42%E -0.653%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 17:10
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -10.26%E -5.67%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -2.42%E -0.653%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.54%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.23%EV -11.51%E -3.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 17:05
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -14.28%E -4.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-06 17:20
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -15.84%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-06 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -20.88%E -6.96%K -10.44%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-06 17:20
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -11.75%E -6.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 17:10
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -11.75%E -6.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 17:10
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -12.24%E -6.92%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -14.23%E -8.22%K -19.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-06 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 51.89%EV -15.22%E -8.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 51.89%EV -15.22%E -8.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-06 17:10
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 49.79%EV -16.71%E -9.94%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.23%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.98%EV -18.24%E -5.88%K -8.69%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-06 17:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.89%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-03-06 17:25
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-03-06 17:25
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-03-06 17:25