L’École des cotes

FC Schalke 04 v Arminia Bielefeld

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 17:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Schalke 04 (Local)

Prévision 49.58%2.02cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -3.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.62%49.65%49.58%52.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.841.851.9559.52%54.35%54.05%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arminia Bielefeld (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.05%4.16cote équitable
EV -0.450%
Avantage -0.109%
Kelly -0.143%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.59%24.00%24.06%25.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.903.904.1428.57%25.65%25.64%24.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.37%3.79cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -0.653%
Kelly -0.895%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.16%26.35%26.36%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.513.503.7033.33%28.50%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -3.32%E -1.70%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 16:45
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.20%EV -4.31%E -2.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.40%EV -0.450%E -0.109%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.40%EV -3.21%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-06 17:16
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -4.31%E -2.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 17:25
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 12:51
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 14:35
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 17:25
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.37%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 14:31
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 17:24
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 17:25
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 17:25
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -5.30%E -2.78%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -5.80%E -3.05%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 14:30
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -5.80%E -3.05%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-06 17:25
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.01%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.37%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 17:24
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 14:30
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.79%E -3.61%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.98%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -2.42%E -0.653%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 16:45
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.98%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.77%EV -2.42%E -0.653%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 16:45
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.84%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.97%EV -0.450%E -0.109%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.19%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 17:25
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 17:19
Suprabets1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -5.26%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.43%EV -6.90%E -1.95%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 16:54
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -7.29%E -3.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:25
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.16%EV -7.78%E -4.18%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 14:45
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.09%EV -7.78%E -4.18%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.52%EV -7.78%E -4.18%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.05%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 14:30
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -8.28%E -4.47%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -2.42%E -0.653%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 17:15
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.93%EV -8.28%E -4.47%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 16:45
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.28%E -4.47%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 16:55
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.28%E -4.47%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 16:55
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.28%E -4.47%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 16:55
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.27%E -5.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.63%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-06 17:20
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.27%E -5.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.27%E -5.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.27%E -5.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 12:50
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -9.27%E -5.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 12:50
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -10.26%E -5.67%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -2.42%E -0.653%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 17:10
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.80%EV -10.26%E -5.67%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -2.42%E -0.653%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -11.03%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-06 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.54%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.23%EV -11.51%E -3.13%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-06 17:05
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -9.83%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -14.28%E -4.40%K -6.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-06 17:20
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -15.84%E -4.53%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-06 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -10.76%E -5.98%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -20.88%E -6.96%K -10.44%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-06 17:20
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Casumo1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
betPARX1.79I 55.87%NM 51.89%EV -11.25%E -6.29%K -14.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -11.75%E -6.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 17:10
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 52.03%EV -11.75%E -6.60%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -1.41%E -0.344%K -0.455%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 17:10
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.88%EV -12.24%E -6.92%K -15.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.82%E -0.954%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -3.73%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 17:10
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -14.23%E -8.22%K -19.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-06 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 51.89%EV -15.22%E -8.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-06 17:10
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 51.89%EV -15.22%E -8.90%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.75%EV -6.22%E -1.60%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-06 17:10
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 49.79%EV -16.71%E -9.94%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.23%EV -13.43%E -3.73%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.98%EV -18.24%E -5.88%K -8.69%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-06 17:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15%0.6%2026-03-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.89%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-03-06 17:25
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-03-06 17:25
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 49.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-03-06 17:25