Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.30
assuming max odds 2.15
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Energie Cottbus (Local): 30.74%; FC St. Pauli (Visit): 44.87%; Draw: 24.39%. For FC Energie Cottbus (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 10:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 10:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 10:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 10:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 10:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-20 10:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.05%EV -1.62%E -0.506%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.79%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.16%EV -2.94%E -0.739%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.05%EV -1.62%E -0.506%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.79%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.16%EV -2.94%E -0.739%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 10:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -1.62%E -0.506%K -0.735%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -2.45%E -0.613%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 10:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.44%EV -2.23%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.24%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.32%EV -2.94%E -0.739%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.57%EV -12.96%E -6.68%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 10:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -13.40%E -6.94%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-20 10:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -13.40%E -6.94%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-20 10:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 05:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.64%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -2.45%E -0.613%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 09:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 10:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 11:03 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -13.40%E -6.94%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -13.40%E -6.94%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 10:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.42%EV -14.30%E -7.49%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -13.43%E -3.78%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-20 10:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -5.31%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV -7.12%E -3.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 11:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.18%EV -5.31%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 11:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.71%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -8.55%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.77%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.45%EV -6.54%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.93%EV -7.57%E -3.68%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.62%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-20 11:08 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.18%EV -4.43%E -2.08%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.11%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 11:08 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-17 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-17 17:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-20 10:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-20 10:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.48%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -8.55%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.45%E -0.613%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-20 09:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.96%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.96%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 11:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -2.45%E -0.613%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 10:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-20 11:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -9.77%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-20 11:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.02%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.55%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 11:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.46%E -3.98%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-20 05:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.46%E -3.98%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-20 05:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.76%E -4.10%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 05:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.76%E -4.10%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 05:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.59%EV -11.76%E -4.10%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-20 11:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.74%EV -12.38%E -4.34%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.93%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-20 11:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.13%EV -13.30%E -4.72%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.34%EV -11.16%E -5.64%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.52%EV -12.69%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-20 11:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.55%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-20 11:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.18% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 11:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 11:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 2.0% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |