A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

FC Energie Cottbus v FC St. Pauli

Início: 2026-09-20 11:30 UTC

Final: FC Energie Cottbus 1–1 FC St. Pauli

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Energie Cottbus (Local)

Previsão 30.74%3.25odd justa
EV +1.46%
Vantagem +0.441%
Kelly +0.633%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.42%30.72%30.66%32.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.053.003.3035.71%32.76%33.33%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC St. Pauli (Visitante)

Previsão 44.87%2.23odd justa
EV -3.53%
Vantagem -1.64%
Kelly -3.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.48%44.90%44.93%46.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.042.052.1552.36%49.07%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.39%4.10odd justa
EV -2.45%
Vantagem -0.613%
Kelly -0.817%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.08%24.37%24.41%25.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.743.764.0028.57%26.71%26.60%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Energie Cottbus (Local): 30.74%; FC St. Pauli (Visitante): 44.87%; Empate: 24.39%. Para FC Energie Cottbus (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.25. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.46%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 10:49
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 10:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 10:49
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 10:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 10:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 10:49
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 10:49
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.05%EV -1.62%E -0.506%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.79%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.16%EV -2.94%E -0.739%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.05%EV -1.62%E -0.506%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.79%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.16%EV -2.94%E -0.739%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 10:44
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -1.62%E -0.506%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -2.45%E -0.613%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 10:39
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.44%EV -2.23%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.24%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.32%EV -2.94%E -0.739%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 11:15
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.57%EV -12.96%E -6.68%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -13.40%E -6.94%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 10:49
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -13.40%E -6.94%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 10:49
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 05:44
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.64%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -2.45%E -0.613%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 09:34
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 10:39
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 11:03
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -13.40%E -6.94%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 10:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -13.40%E -6.94%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 10:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.42%EV -14.30%E -7.49%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -13.43%E -3.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 10:49
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -5.31%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV -7.12%E -3.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 11:23
Marathon Bet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.18%EV -5.31%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 11:19
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.71%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -8.55%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 11:24
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.77%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 11:24
Suprabets🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.45%EV -6.54%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.93%EV -7.57%E -3.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.62%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 11:08
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.18%EV -4.43%E -2.08%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.11%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 11:14
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 17:50
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 10:08
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 10:08
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.48%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -8.55%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 11:24
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.45%E -0.613%K -0.817%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 09:34
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 11:04
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 11:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 11:04
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 11:04
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 11:24
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.96%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 11:10
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.96%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 11:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -2.45%E -0.613%K -0.817%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 10:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 11:09
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -9.77%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 11:10
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.02%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.55%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 11:10
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.46%E -3.98%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 05:45
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.46%E -3.98%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 05:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.76%E -4.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 05:44
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.76%E -4.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 05:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.59%EV -11.76%E -4.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 11:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.74%EV -12.38%E -4.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.93%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 11:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.13%EV -13.30%E -4.72%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.34%EV -11.16%E -5.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.52%EV -12.69%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 11:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.55%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 11:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-09-20 11:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-09-20 11:24
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-09-20 11:24
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-09-20 11:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-09-20 11:25
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.0%2026-09-20 11:24