L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Energie Cottbus v FC St. Pauli

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 11:30 UTC

Score final : FC Energie Cottbus 1–1 FC St. Pauli

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Energie Cottbus (Local)

Prévision 30.74%3.25cote équitable
EV +1.46%
Avantage +0.441%
Kelly +0.633%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.42%30.72%30.66%32.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.053.003.3035.71%32.76%33.33%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC St. Pauli (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.87%2.23cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -3.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.48%44.90%44.93%46.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.042.052.1552.36%49.07%48.78%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.39%4.10cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -0.613%
Kelly -0.817%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.08%24.37%24.41%25.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.743.764.0028.57%26.71%26.60%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Energie Cottbus (Local) : 30.74% ; FC St. Pauli (Visiteur) : 44.87% ; Match nul : 24.39%. Pour FC Energie Cottbus (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.25. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.30, soit une espérance positive de +1.46%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 10:49
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 10:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 10:49
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 10:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 10:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 10:49
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.46%E +0.441%K +0.633%G +0.009%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 10:49
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.05%EV -1.62%E -0.506%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.79%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.16%EV -2.94%E -0.739%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.05%EV -1.62%E -0.506%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.79%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.16%EV -2.94%E -0.739%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 10:44
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -1.62%E -0.506%K -0.735%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -2.45%E -0.613%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 10:39
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.44%EV -2.23%E -0.702%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.24%EV -3.98%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.32%EV -2.94%E -0.739%K -0.986%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 11:15
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.57%EV -12.96%E -6.68%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.75%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -13.40%E -6.94%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 10:49
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -13.40%E -6.94%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 10:49
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 05:44
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.64%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -2.45%E -0.613%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 09:34
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 10:39
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 11:03
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -13.40%E -6.94%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 10:49
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -13.40%E -6.94%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 10:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.42%EV -14.30%E -7.49%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.98%EV -13.43%E -3.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 10:49
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -5.31%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV -7.12%E -3.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 11:23
Marathon Bet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.18%EV -5.31%E -1.72%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 11:19
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.71%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -8.55%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 11:24
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.77%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 11:24
Suprabets🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.45%EV -6.54%E -2.15%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.93%EV -7.57%E -3.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.62%EV -8.30%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 11:08
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.18%EV -4.43%E -2.08%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.11%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 11:14
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.33%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 17:50
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 10:08
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 10:08
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.48%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -8.55%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 11:24
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.45%E -0.613%K -0.817%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 09:34
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 11:04
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 11:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 11:04
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 11:04
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 11:24
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.96%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 11:10
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.96%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -10.99%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 11:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -3.53%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -2.45%E -0.613%K -0.817%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 10:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.89%E -1.25%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 11:09
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -9.77%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 11:10
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.02%EV -6.67%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.55%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 11:10
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.46%E -3.98%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 05:45
Neds🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.46%E -3.98%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 05:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.76%E -4.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 05:44
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.76%E -4.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -14.65%E -4.18%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 05:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.59%EV -11.76%E -4.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 11:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.74%EV -12.38%E -4.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.93%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.33%EV -12.21%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 11:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 31.13%EV -13.30%E -4.72%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.34%EV -11.16%E -5.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.52%EV -12.69%E -3.55%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 11:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -10.26%E -5.13%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -8.55%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 11:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-09-20 11:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-09-20 11:24
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-09-20 11:24
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.65%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-09-20 11:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-09-20 11:25
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.0%2026-09-20 11:24