Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elversberg v SC Preußen Münster

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 13:30 UTC

Final: Elversberg 3–0 SC Preußen Münster

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elversberg (Local)

Prediction 77.75%1.29fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -2.90%
Kelly -14.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%77.77%77.83%80.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.191.201.2489.29%83.87%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Preußen Münster (Visit)

Prediction 8.48%11.79fair odd
EV +10.25%
Edge +0.788%
Kelly +0.854%
Growth +0.088%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.27%8.50%8.45%10.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5010.8111.0013.0011.76%9.25%9.09%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 13.77%7.26fair odd
EV +10.19%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.148%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.86%13.73%13.72%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.576.508.0018.18%15.22%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elversberg (Local): 77.75%; SC Preußen Münster (Visit): 8.48%; Draw: 13.77%. For SC Preußen Münster (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.79. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.10%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.04%EV -10.95%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +10.19%E +1.27%K +1.46%G +0.148%5.4%2026-05-16 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.89%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +10.25%E +0.788%K +0.854%G +0.088%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +3.31%E +0.441%K +0.509%G +0.017%5.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.56%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%12.70I 7.87%NM 7.52%EV +7.70%E +0.607%K +0.659%G +0.051%7.39I 13.53%NM 12.92%EV +1.79%E +0.242%K +0.280%G +0.005%4.7%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -15.19%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.20%EV -2.20%E -0.310%K -0.361%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.76%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.10%EV -13.07%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.14%EV -2.20%E -0.310%K -0.361%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 08:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -10.95%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -10.95%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:00
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Suprabets🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:35
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:39
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -9.04%E -7.72%K -53.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:38
Codere (IT)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.64%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -6.34%E -0.932%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -7.03%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -2.47%E -0.215%K -0.235%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -7.03%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -2.47%E -0.215%K -0.235%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -7.03%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 13:10
Bovada🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.71%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -7.03%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.63%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.90%EV -7.71%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.63%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.90%EV -7.71%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -3.60%E -2.90%K -14.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -19.43%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:10
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:09
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:38
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:39
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
LeoVegas🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.44%EV -7.48%E -6.29%K -39.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 13:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.28%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.89%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -10.95%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.18%EV -11.37%E -9.97%K -81.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 76.21%EV -10.59%E -9.21%K -70.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -27.91%E -3.28%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.48%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 19:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 77.53%EV -12.93%E -11.54%K -107.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.68%EV -15.19%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.78%EV -13.22%E -2.10%K -2.49%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-17 08:15
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 08:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 06:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 06:45
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.68%EV -9.04%E -7.72%K -53.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -15.19%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.35%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.16%EV -9.82%E -8.46%K -61.35%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.52%EV -10.95%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 13:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.16%EV -9.82%E -8.46%K -61.35%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.52%EV -10.95%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 13:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 76.87%EV -11.37%E -9.97%K -81.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.76%EV -15.19%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.37%EV -15.98%E -2.62%K -3.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-15 13:09
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 08:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -23.67%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -23.67%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -23.67%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -23.67%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 75.83%EV -9.82%E -8.46%K -61.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -19.43%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.91%EV -18.73%E -3.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -9.04%E -7.72%K -53.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -15.19%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -24.24%E -4.41%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 81.18%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.93%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89%1.0%2026-05-17 06:45
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 80.29%14.01I 7.14%NM 7.05%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66%1.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.21%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.80%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.21%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.80%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.21%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.80%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.21%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.80%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40