La escuela de los momios

Elversberg v SC Preußen Münster

Inicio: 2026-05-17 13:30 UTC

Final: Elversberg 3–0 SC Preußen Münster

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elversberg (Local)

Predicción 77.75%1.29momio equitativo
EV -3.60%
Ventaja -2.90%
Kelly -14.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.00%77.77%77.83%80.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.191.201.2489.29%83.87%83.33%80.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SC Preußen Münster (Visitante)

Predicción 8.48%11.79momio equitativo
EV +10.25%
Ventaja +0.788%
Kelly +0.854%
Crecimiento +0.088%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.27%8.50%8.45%10.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.5010.8111.0013.0011.76%9.25%9.09%7.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 13.77%7.26momio equitativo
EV +10.19%
Ventaja +1.27%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.148%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.86%13.73%13.72%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.576.508.0018.18%15.22%15.38%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.10%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.04%EV -10.95%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.86%EV +10.19%E +1.27%K +1.46%G +0.148%5.4%2026-05-16 11:25
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.89%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV +10.25%E +0.788%K +0.854%G +0.088%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV +3.31%E +0.441%K +0.509%G +0.017%5.8%2026-05-17 10:39
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 79.56%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%12.70I 7.87%NM 7.52%EV +7.70%E +0.607%K +0.659%G +0.051%7.39I 13.53%NM 12.92%EV +1.79%E +0.242%K +0.280%G +0.005%4.7%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -15.19%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.20%EV -2.20%E -0.310%K -0.361%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Marathon Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.76%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.10%EV -13.07%E -1.28%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.14%EV -2.20%E -0.310%K -0.361%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 78.65%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 08:00
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -10.95%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:00
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -10.95%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:00
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Suprabets1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:35
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:39
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -9.04%E -7.72%K -53.16%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -3.58%E -0.512%K -0.597%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:38
Codere (IT)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.64%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -6.34%E -0.932%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 10:39
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -5.15%E -4.22%K -23.41%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -7.03%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:35
ATG (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -2.47%E -0.215%K -0.235%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -7.03%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 13:10
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 77.85%EV -5.93%E -4.90%K -28.23%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.19%EV -2.47%E -0.215%K -0.235%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.96%EV -7.03%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 13:10
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 77.71%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -7.03%E -1.04%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 77.63%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.90%EV -7.71%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.63%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.90%EV -7.71%E -1.15%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.68%EV -3.60%E -2.90%K -14.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -19.43%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 08:10
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
Grosvenor1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:09
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:38
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 10:39
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:10
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 77.44%EV -7.48%E -6.29%K -39.38%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 13:10
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.28%EV -8.26%E -7.00%K -45.89%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -10.95%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 78.18%EV -11.37%E -9.97%K -81.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 10:39
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 76.21%EV -10.59%E -9.21%K -70.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -27.91%E -3.28%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.48%EV -10.47%E -1.61%K -1.90%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 19:00
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 77.53%EV -12.93%E -11.54%K -107.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.68%EV -15.19%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.78%EV -13.22%E -2.10%K -2.49%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-17 08:15
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +1.77%E +0.147%K +0.161%G +0.003%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 08:15
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 06:45
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 06:45
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 76.68%EV -9.04%E -7.72%K -53.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.97%EV -15.19%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.35%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.16%EV -9.82%E -8.46%K -61.35%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.52%EV -10.95%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 13:09
Virgin Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.16%EV -9.82%E -8.46%K -61.35%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.52%EV -10.95%E -1.04%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -13.91%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-15 13:09
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.87%EV -11.37%E -9.97%K -81.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.76%EV -15.19%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.37%EV -15.98%E -2.62%K -3.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-15 13:09
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 13:35
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 08:00
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -6.71%E -0.610%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -23.67%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -23.67%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -23.67%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -6.71%E -5.59%K -33.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -23.67%E -2.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -17.36%E -2.89%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 10:39
Unibet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.83%EV -9.82%E -8.46%K -61.35%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -19.43%E -2.05%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.91%EV -18.73%E -3.18%K -3.82%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -9.04%E -7.72%K -53.16%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -15.19%E -1.52%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -24.24%E -4.41%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 81.18%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.93%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89%1.0%2026-05-17 06:45
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 80.29%14.01I 7.14%NM 7.05%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66%1.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.21%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.80%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.21%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.80%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.21%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.80%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.21%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.80%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.98%1.4%2026-05-17 10:40